Language:English
Talia Gibson v Diana Shnaider
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Talia Gibson (Local)
Prediction 20.28%4.93fair odd
EV +52.10%
Edge +6.95%
Kelly +8.02%
Growth +4.18%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.59%19.98%20.42%23.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.794.757.5025.00%20.88%21.05%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Diana Shnaider (Visit)
Prediction 79.72%1.25fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -2.25%
Kelly -12.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.63%80.02%79.58%87.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.171.171.2292.59%85.30%85.47%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Talia Gibson (Local): 20.28%; Diana Shnaider (Visit): 79.72%. For Talia Gibson (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.93. 19 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +52.10%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +52.10%E +6.95%K +8.02%G +4.18% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -13.90%E -12.87%K -173.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 09:03 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +22.70%E +3.75%K +4.49%G +1.02% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -9.92%E -8.78%K -76.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +21.68%E +3.61%K +4.34%G +0.940% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -10.71%E -9.57%K -89.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.67I 17.64%NM 17.11%EV +14.99%E +2.64%K +3.21%G +0.481% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.89%EV -6.73%E -5.75%K -39.58%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +13.57%E +2.42%K +2.95%G +0.400% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -9.12%E -8.00%K -65.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 09:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +9.51%E +1.76%K +2.16%G +0.206% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -7.53%E -6.49%K -47.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 08:58 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +7.49%E +1.41%K +1.74%G +0.130% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -6.73%E -5.75%K -39.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +7.49%E +1.41%K +1.74%G +0.130% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -8.32%E -7.24%K -55.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +7.49%E +1.41%K +1.74%G +0.130% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -9.12%E -8.00%K -65.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 08:58 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +6.47%E +1.23%K +1.52%G +0.099% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -7.53%E -6.49%K -47.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 09:03 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +6.47%E +1.23%K +1.52%G +0.099% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -8.32%E -7.24%K -55.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 09:03 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +6.47%E +1.23%K +1.52%G +0.099% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -8.32%E -7.24%K -55.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 08:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.93%EV +4.24%E +0.825%K +1.02%G +0.043% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.07%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-08 08:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +3.43%E +0.673%K +0.837%G +0.029% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.73%E -5.75%K -39.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +3.43%E +0.673%K +0.837%G +0.029% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.73%E -5.75%K -39.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV +2.42%E +0.478%K +0.597%G +0.014% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 09:02 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +1.40%E +0.280%K +0.351%G +0.005% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.53%E -6.49%K -47.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +1.40%E +0.280%K +0.351%G +0.005% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.12%E -8.00%K -65.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +1.40%E +0.280%K +0.351%G +0.005% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.12%E -8.00%K -65.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 09:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -2.65%E -0.553%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -2.65%E -0.553%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -8.32%E -7.24%K -55.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 09:03 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -2.65%E -0.553%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -8.32%E -7.24%K -55.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 09:03 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.67%E -0.772%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.13%E -4.31%K -27.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.67%E -0.772%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.13%E -4.31%K -27.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.67%E -0.772%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.13%E -4.31%K -27.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.67%E -0.772%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.13%E -4.31%K -27.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.67%E -0.772%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.13%E -4.31%K -27.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.67%E -0.772%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.13%E -4.31%K -27.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -3.67%E -0.772%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.73%E -5.75%K -39.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -3.67%E -0.772%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.32%E -7.24%K -55.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -3.67%E -0.772%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.32%E -7.24%K -55.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -4.68%E -0.996%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.53%E -6.49%K -47.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.71%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.71%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.71%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.71%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.71%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.71%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.71%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.54%E -2.93%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.73%E -5.75%K -39.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.73%E -5.75%K -39.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -7.53%E -6.49%K -47.03%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -8.32%E -7.24%K -55.48%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -10.77%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -3.54%E -2.93%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -10.77%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.77%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -7.53%E -6.49%K -47.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.19%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -13.81%E -3.25%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.82%E -3.53%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.82%E -3.53%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.82%E -3.53%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.82%E -3.53%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -14.82%E -3.53%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -14.82%E -3.53%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -7.53%E -6.49%K -47.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -14.82%E -3.53%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65%EV -9.12%E -8.00%K -65.14%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -16.85%E -4.11%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -3.54%E -2.93%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.88%E -4.72%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.74%E -2.25%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -18.88%E -4.72%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.52%EV -7.53%E -6.49%K -47.03%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 1.3% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.82% | 1.9% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85% | 2.3% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Novig◎ | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.74% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.26% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |