L’École des cotes

Talia Gibson v Diana Shnaider

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-08 09:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Talia Gibson (Local)

Prévision 20.28%4.93cote équitable
EV +52.10%
Avantage +6.95%
Kelly +8.02%
Croissance +4.18%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.59%19.98%20.42%23.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.794.757.5025.00%20.88%21.05%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Diana Shnaider (Visiteur)

Prévision 79.72%1.25cote équitable
EV -2.74%
Avantage -2.25%
Kelly -12.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.63%80.02%79.58%87.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.081.171.171.2292.59%85.30%85.47%81.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
William Hill7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +52.10%E +6.95%K +8.02%G +4.18%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -13.90%E -12.87%K -173.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 09:03
SportsBet6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +22.70%E +3.75%K +4.49%G +1.02%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -9.92%E -8.78%K -76.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 09:05
BoyleSports6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +21.68%E +3.61%K +4.34%G +0.940%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -10.71%E -9.57%K -89.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 09:14
Pinnacle5.67I 17.64%NM 17.11%EV +14.99%E +2.64%K +3.21%G +0.481%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.89%EV -6.73%E -5.75%K -39.58%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-08 09:05
Marathon Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +13.57%E +2.42%K +2.95%G +0.400%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -9.12%E -8.00%K -65.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 09:04
ReBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +9.51%E +1.76%K +2.16%G +0.206%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -7.53%E -6.49%K -47.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 08:58
FanDuel5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +7.49%E +1.41%K +1.74%G +0.130%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -6.73%E -5.75%K -39.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 09:15
Unibet (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +7.49%E +1.41%K +1.74%G +0.130%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -8.32%E -7.24%K -55.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 09:05
NetBet (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +7.49%E +1.41%K +1.74%G +0.130%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -9.12%E -8.00%K -65.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 08:58
Bet Right5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +6.47%E +1.23%K +1.52%G +0.099%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -7.53%E -6.49%K -47.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 09:03
Betr (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +6.47%E +1.23%K +1.52%G +0.099%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -8.32%E -7.24%K -55.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 09:03
BetUS5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +6.47%E +1.23%K +1.52%G +0.099%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -8.32%E -7.24%K -55.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 08:59
GTbets5.14I 19.46%NM 18.93%EV +4.24%E +0.825%K +1.02%G +0.043%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.07%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.68%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-08 08:59
BetOnline.ag5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +3.43%E +0.673%K +0.837%G +0.029%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.73%E -5.75%K -39.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 09:05
LowVig.ag5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +3.43%E +0.673%K +0.837%G +0.029%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.73%E -5.75%K -39.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 09:05
1xBet5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV +2.42%E +0.478%K +0.597%G +0.014%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 09:02
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +1.40%E +0.280%K +0.351%G +0.005%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.53%E -6.49%K -47.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 09:05
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +1.40%E +0.280%K +0.351%G +0.005%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.12%E -8.00%K -65.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 09:15
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +1.40%E +0.280%K +0.351%G +0.005%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.12%E -8.00%K -65.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 09:04
NordicBet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -2.65%E -0.553%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 09:15
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -2.65%E -0.553%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -8.32%E -7.24%K -55.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 09:03
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -2.65%E -0.553%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -8.32%E -7.24%K -55.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 09:03
Unibet (NL)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.67%E -0.772%K -0.978%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.13%E -4.31%K -27.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 09:15
Casumo4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.67%E -0.772%K -0.978%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.13%E -4.31%K -27.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 09:15
Unibet (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.67%E -0.772%K -0.978%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.13%E -4.31%K -27.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 09:15
betPARX4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.67%E -0.772%K -0.978%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.13%E -4.31%K -27.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 09:15
ATG (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.67%E -0.772%K -0.978%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.13%E -4.31%K -27.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 09:15
Svenska Spel4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.67%E -0.772%K -0.978%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.13%E -4.31%K -27.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 09:15
theScore Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -3.67%E -0.772%K -0.978%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.73%E -5.75%K -39.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 09:15
888sport4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -3.67%E -0.772%K -0.978%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.32%E -7.24%K -55.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 09:15
Mr Green (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -3.67%E -0.772%K -0.978%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.32%E -7.24%K -55.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 09:15
Tipico (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -4.68%E -0.996%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.53%E -6.49%K -47.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 09:15
Coolbet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.71%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 09:14
Unibet (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.71%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 09:15
DraftKings4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.71%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 09:14
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.71%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 09:15
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.71%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 09:15
BetRivers4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.71%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 09:15
Betsson4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.71%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 09:15
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.54%E -2.93%K -16.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 09:15
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 09:15
Ladbrokes (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 09:15
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.73%E -5.75%K -39.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 09:15
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.73%E -5.75%K -39.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 09:14
LeoVegas (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -7.53%E -6.49%K -47.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 09:15
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -8.32%E -7.24%K -55.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 09:15
Unibet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -10.77%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -3.54%E -2.93%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 09:15
Coral4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -10.77%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 09:15
Fliff4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.77%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -7.53%E -6.49%K -47.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 09:14
Bet Victor4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.19%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 09:14
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -13.81%E -3.25%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 09:15
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.82%E -3.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 09:14
Grosvenor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.82%E -3.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 09:14
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.82%E -3.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 09:14
Bally Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.82%E -3.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 09:15
Fanatics4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -14.82%E -3.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 09:15
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -14.82%E -3.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -7.53%E -6.49%K -47.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 09:14
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -14.82%E -3.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65%EV -9.12%E -8.00%K -65.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 09:15
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -16.85%E -4.11%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -3.54%E -2.93%K -16.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 09:15
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.88%E -4.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.74%E -2.25%K -12.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 09:14
PMU (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -18.88%E -4.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 77.52%EV -7.53%E -6.49%K -47.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 09:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-05-08 09:15
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-05-08 09:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%1.3%2026-05-08 09:15
Matchbook5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.82%1.9%2026-05-08 09:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85%2.3%2026-05-08 09:15
Novig5.38I 18.59%NM 17.74%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.26%4.8%2026-05-08 09:15