مدرسة الاحتمالات

Talia Gibson v Diana Shnaider

البداية: 2026-05-08 09:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Talia Gibson (المضيف)

التنبؤ 20.28%4.93السعر العادل
EV +52.10%
الأفضلية +6.95%
Kelly +8.02%
النمو +4.18%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
12.59%19.98%20.42%23.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.794.757.5025.00%20.88%21.05%13.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Diana Shnaider (الضيف)

التنبؤ 79.72%1.25السعر العادل
EV -2.74%
الأفضلية -2.25%
Kelly -12.46%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.22

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
76.63%80.02%79.58%87.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.081.171.171.2292.59%85.30%85.47%81.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
William Hill7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +52.10%E +6.95%K +8.02%G +4.18%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -13.90%E -12.87%K -173.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 09:03
SportsBet6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +22.70%E +3.75%K +4.49%G +1.02%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -9.92%E -8.78%K -76.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 09:05
BoyleSports6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +21.68%E +3.61%K +4.34%G +0.940%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -10.71%E -9.57%K -89.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 09:14
Pinnacle5.67I 17.64%NM 17.11%EV +14.99%E +2.64%K +3.21%G +0.481%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.89%EV -6.73%E -5.75%K -39.58%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-08 09:05
Marathon Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +13.57%E +2.42%K +2.95%G +0.400%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -9.12%E -8.00%K -65.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 09:04
ReBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +9.51%E +1.76%K +2.16%G +0.206%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -7.53%E -6.49%K -47.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 08:58
FanDuel5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +7.49%E +1.41%K +1.74%G +0.130%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -6.73%E -5.75%K -39.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 09:15
Unibet (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +7.49%E +1.41%K +1.74%G +0.130%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -8.32%E -7.24%K -55.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 09:05
NetBet (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +7.49%E +1.41%K +1.74%G +0.130%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -9.12%E -8.00%K -65.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 08:58
Bet Right5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +6.47%E +1.23%K +1.52%G +0.099%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -7.53%E -6.49%K -47.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 09:03
Betr (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +6.47%E +1.23%K +1.52%G +0.099%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -8.32%E -7.24%K -55.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 09:03
BetUS5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +6.47%E +1.23%K +1.52%G +0.099%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -8.32%E -7.24%K -55.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 08:59
GTbets5.14I 19.46%NM 18.93%EV +4.24%E +0.825%K +1.02%G +0.043%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.07%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.68%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-08 08:59
BetOnline.ag5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +3.43%E +0.673%K +0.837%G +0.029%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.73%E -5.75%K -39.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 09:05
LowVig.ag5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +3.43%E +0.673%K +0.837%G +0.029%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.73%E -5.75%K -39.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 09:05
1xBet5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV +2.42%E +0.478%K +0.597%G +0.014%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 09:02
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +1.40%E +0.280%K +0.351%G +0.005%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.53%E -6.49%K -47.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 09:05
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +1.40%E +0.280%K +0.351%G +0.005%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.12%E -8.00%K -65.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 09:15
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +1.40%E +0.280%K +0.351%G +0.005%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.12%E -8.00%K -65.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 09:04
NordicBet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -2.65%E -0.553%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 09:15
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -2.65%E -0.553%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -8.32%E -7.24%K -55.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 09:03
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -2.65%E -0.553%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -8.32%E -7.24%K -55.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 09:03
Unibet (NL)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.67%E -0.772%K -0.978%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.13%E -4.31%K -27.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 09:15
Casumo4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.67%E -0.772%K -0.978%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.13%E -4.31%K -27.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 09:15
Unibet (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.67%E -0.772%K -0.978%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.13%E -4.31%K -27.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 09:15
betPARX4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.67%E -0.772%K -0.978%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.13%E -4.31%K -27.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 09:15
ATG (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.67%E -0.772%K -0.978%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.13%E -4.31%K -27.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 09:15
Svenska Spel4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.67%E -0.772%K -0.978%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.13%E -4.31%K -27.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 09:15
theScore Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -3.67%E -0.772%K -0.978%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.73%E -5.75%K -39.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 09:15
888sport4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -3.67%E -0.772%K -0.978%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.32%E -7.24%K -55.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 09:15
Mr Green (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -3.67%E -0.772%K -0.978%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.32%E -7.24%K -55.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 09:15
Tipico (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -4.68%E -0.996%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.53%E -6.49%K -47.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 09:15
Coolbet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.71%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 09:14
Unibet (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.71%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 09:15
DraftKings4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.71%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 09:14
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.71%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 09:15
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.71%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 09:15
BetRivers4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.71%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 09:15
Betsson4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.71%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 09:15
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.54%E -2.93%K -16.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 09:15
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 09:15
Ladbrokes (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 09:15
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.73%E -5.75%K -39.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 09:15
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.73%E -5.75%K -39.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 09:14
LeoVegas (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -7.53%E -6.49%K -47.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 09:15
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -8.32%E -7.24%K -55.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 09:15
Unibet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -10.77%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -3.54%E -2.93%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 09:15
Coral4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -10.77%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 09:15
Fliff4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.77%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -7.53%E -6.49%K -47.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 09:14
Bet Victor4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.19%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 09:14
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -13.81%E -3.25%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 09:15
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.82%E -3.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 09:14
Grosvenor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.82%E -3.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 09:14
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.82%E -3.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 09:14
Bally Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.82%E -3.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 09:15
Fanatics4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -14.82%E -3.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 09:15
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -14.82%E -3.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -7.53%E -6.49%K -47.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 09:14
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -14.82%E -3.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65%EV -9.12%E -8.00%K -65.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 09:15
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -16.85%E -4.11%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -3.54%E -2.93%K -16.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 09:15
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.88%E -4.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.74%E -2.25%K -12.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 09:14
PMU (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -18.88%E -4.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 77.52%EV -7.53%E -6.49%K -47.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 09:14
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-05-08 09:15
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-05-08 09:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%1.3%2026-05-08 09:15
Matchbook5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.82%1.9%2026-05-08 09:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85%2.3%2026-05-08 09:15
Novig5.38I 18.59%NM 17.74%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.26%4.8%2026-05-08 09:15