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Sorana Cirstea v Linda Noskova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sorana Cirstea (Local)
Prediction 56.95%1.76fair odd
EV +16.74%
Edge +8.17%
Kelly +15.95%
Growth +2.67%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.09%55.83%57.41%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.731.662.0566.67%57.77%60.24%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Linda Noskova (Visit)
Prediction 43.05%2.32fair odd
EV +11.93%
Edge +4.59%
Kelly +7.46%
Growth +0.890%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.59%44.17%42.59%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.752.092.152.6057.14%47.82%46.51%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sorana Cirstea (Local): 56.95%; Linda Noskova (Visit): 43.05%. For Sorana Cirstea (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.74%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV +16.74%E +8.17%K +15.95%G +2.67% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -19.92%E -10.71%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-11 09:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +15.04%E +7.44%K +14.74%G +2.22% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -21.65%E -11.89%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 09:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +15.04%E +7.44%K +14.74%G +2.22% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -21.65%E -11.89%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 09:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV +15.04%E +7.44%K +14.74%G +2.22% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -22.51%E -12.50%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 08:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV +14.47%E +7.20%K +14.32%G +2.07% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -21.22%E -11.59%K -25.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-11 09:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV +14.47%E +7.20%K +14.32%G +2.07% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -22.51%E -12.50%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 09:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV +13.90%E +6.95%K +13.90%G +1.93% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -21.65%E -11.89%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-11 08:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +13.90%E +6.95%K +13.90%G +1.93% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -22.51%E -12.50%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 09:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +13.90%E +6.95%K +13.90%G +1.93% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -23.37%E -13.13%K -29.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-11 08:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV +12.76%E +6.44%K +13.02%G +1.66% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -22.51%E -12.50%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 09:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV +12.76%E +6.44%K +13.02%G +1.66% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -23.37%E -13.13%K -29.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-11 09:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV +12.19%E +6.19%K +12.57%G +1.53% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -21.22%E -11.59%K -25.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 08:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV +11.05%E +5.67%K +11.63%G +1.29% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -21.65%E -11.89%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-11 09:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +11.05%E +5.67%K +11.63%G +1.29% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -22.51%E -12.50%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 09:02 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV +11.05%E +5.67%K +11.63%G +1.29% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -23.37%E -13.13%K -29.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 09:03 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV +11.05%E +5.67%K +11.63%G +1.29% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -23.37%E -13.13%K -29.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 09:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV +11.05%E +5.67%K +11.63%G +1.29% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -24.66%E -14.09%K -32.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-11 08:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV +9.34%E +4.87%K +10.15%G +0.949% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -18.20%E -9.58%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 09:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -0.909%E -0.523%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -11.74%E -5.73%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -10.02%E -4.80%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.19%E -1.87%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.15%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.15%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.15%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -13.90%E -6.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -7.87%E -3.68%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -7.87%E -3.68%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -7.87%E -3.68%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -7.87%E -3.68%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.03%E -3.66%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.03%E -3.66%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.03%E -3.66%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.03%E -3.66%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -6.60%E -4.03%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -2.27%E -1.00%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -6.60%E -4.03%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -8.73%E -4.12%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.17%E -4.40%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.982%E -0.427%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.982%E -0.427%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.982%E -0.427%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.982%E -0.427%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.31%E -5.16%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.31%E -5.16%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -8.88%E -5.55%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -1.84%E -0.808%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.88%E -5.55%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -8.88%E -5.55%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.74%E -5.73%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -9.45%E -5.94%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV +1.17%E +0.498%K +0.867%G +0.010% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.82%EV -9.45%E -5.94%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -6.15%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 09:13 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -10.59%E -6.75%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -0.982%E -0.427%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -10.59%E -6.75%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -11.16%E -7.15%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -4.00%E -1.79%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -11.16%E -7.15%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -11.73%E -7.57%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV +1.17%E +0.498%K +0.867%G +0.010% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -11.73%E -7.57%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -0.982%E -0.427%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -11.73%E -7.57%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -0.982%E -0.427%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -12.87%E -8.41%K -24.28%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +2.46%E +1.03%K +1.78%G +0.044% | 7.4% | 2026-05-11 09:13 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -14.58%E -9.72%K -29.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +11.93%E +4.59%K +7.46%G +0.890% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |