La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Sorana Cirstea v Linda Noskova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sorana Cirstea (Local)
Predicción 56.95%1.76momio equitativo
EV +16.74%
Ventaja +8.17%
Kelly +15.95%
Crecimiento +2.67%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.09%55.83%57.41%63.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.731.662.0566.67%57.77%60.24%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Linda Noskova (Visitante)
Predicción 43.05%2.32momio equitativo
EV +11.93%
Ventaja +4.59%
Kelly +7.46%
Crecimiento +0.890%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.59%44.17%42.59%52.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.752.092.152.6057.14%47.82%46.51%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV +16.74%E +8.17%K +15.95%G +2.67% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -19.92%E -10.71%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-11 09:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +15.04%E +7.44%K +14.74%G +2.22% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -21.65%E -11.89%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 09:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +15.04%E +7.44%K +14.74%G +2.22% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -21.65%E -11.89%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 09:04 |
| ReBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV +15.04%E +7.44%K +14.74%G +2.22% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -22.51%E -12.50%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 08:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV +14.47%E +7.20%K +14.32%G +2.07% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -21.22%E -11.59%K -25.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-11 09:04 |
| Bet Right | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV +14.47%E +7.20%K +14.32%G +2.07% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -22.51%E -12.50%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 09:04 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV +13.90%E +6.95%K +13.90%G +1.93% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -21.65%E -11.89%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-11 08:59 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +13.90%E +6.95%K +13.90%G +1.93% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -22.51%E -12.50%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 09:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +13.90%E +6.95%K +13.90%G +1.93% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -23.37%E -13.13%K -29.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-11 08:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV +12.76%E +6.44%K +13.02%G +1.66% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -22.51%E -12.50%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 09:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV +12.76%E +6.44%K +13.02%G +1.66% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -23.37%E -13.13%K -29.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-11 09:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV +12.19%E +6.19%K +12.57%G +1.53% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -21.22%E -11.59%K -25.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 08:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV +11.05%E +5.67%K +11.63%G +1.29% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -21.65%E -11.89%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-11 09:05 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +11.05%E +5.67%K +11.63%G +1.29% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -22.51%E -12.50%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 09:02 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV +11.05%E +5.67%K +11.63%G +1.29% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -23.37%E -13.13%K -29.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 09:03 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV +11.05%E +5.67%K +11.63%G +1.29% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -23.37%E -13.13%K -29.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 09:04 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV +11.05%E +5.67%K +11.63%G +1.29% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -24.66%E -14.09%K -32.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-11 08:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV +9.34%E +4.87%K +10.15%G +0.949% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -18.20%E -9.58%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 09:04 |
| Caesars | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -0.909%E -0.523%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -11.74%E -5.73%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -10.02%E -4.80%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.19%E -1.87%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.15%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.15%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.15%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| BetRivers | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| Fliff | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -13.90%E -6.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -7.87%E -3.68%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| Grosvenor | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -7.87%E -3.68%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -7.87%E -3.68%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| Bally Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -7.87%E -3.68%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.03%E -3.66%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.03%E -3.66%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.03%E -3.66%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.03%E -3.66%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| Coolbet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -6.60%E -4.03%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -2.27%E -1.00%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -6.60%E -4.03%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -8.73%E -4.12%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.17%E -4.40%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| Casumo | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.982%E -0.427%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| Unibet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.982%E -0.427%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.982%E -0.427%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| betPARX | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.982%E -0.427%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.31%E -5.16%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.31%E -5.16%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| TABtouch | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -8.88%E -5.55%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -1.84%E -0.808%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.88%E -5.55%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -8.88%E -5.55%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.74%E -5.73%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -9.45%E -5.94%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV +1.17%E +0.498%K +0.867%G +0.010% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.82%EV -9.45%E -5.94%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -6.15%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 09:13 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -10.59%E -6.75%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -0.982%E -0.427%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -10.59%E -6.75%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -11.16%E -7.15%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -4.00%E -1.79%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -11.16%E -7.15%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -11.73%E -7.57%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV +1.17%E +0.498%K +0.867%G +0.010% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -11.73%E -7.57%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -0.982%E -0.427%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| Coral | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -11.73%E -7.57%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -0.982%E -0.427%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -12.87%E -8.41%K -24.28%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +2.46%E +1.03%K +1.78%G +0.044% | 7.4% | 2026-05-11 09:13 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -14.58%E -9.72%K -29.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +11.93%E +4.59%K +7.46%G +0.890% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| Smarkets | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |
| Novig | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 09:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 09:14 |