L’École des cotes

Sorana Cirstea v Linda Noskova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-11 09:16 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sorana Cirstea (Local)

Prévision 56.95%1.76cote équitable
EV +16.74%
Avantage +8.17%
Kelly +15.95%
Croissance +2.67%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.09%55.83%57.41%63.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.731.662.0566.67%57.77%60.24%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Linda Noskova (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.05%2.32cote équitable
EV +11.93%
Avantage +4.59%
Kelly +7.46%
Croissance +0.890%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.59%44.17%42.59%52.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.752.092.152.6057.14%47.82%46.51%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV +16.74%E +8.17%K +15.95%G +2.67%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -19.92%E -10.71%K -23.17%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-11 09:04
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +15.04%E +7.44%K +14.74%G +2.22%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -21.65%E -11.89%K -26.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-11 09:04
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +15.04%E +7.44%K +14.74%G +2.22%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -21.65%E -11.89%K -26.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-11 09:04
ReBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV +15.04%E +7.44%K +14.74%G +2.22%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -22.51%E -12.50%K -28.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 08:59
SportsBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV +14.47%E +7.20%K +14.32%G +2.07%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -21.22%E -11.59%K -25.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-11 09:04
Bet Right2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV +14.47%E +7.20%K +14.32%G +2.07%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -22.51%E -12.50%K -28.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 09:04
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV +13.90%E +6.95%K +13.90%G +1.93%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -21.65%E -11.89%K -26.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 08:59
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +13.90%E +6.95%K +13.90%G +1.93%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -22.51%E -12.50%K -28.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 09:01
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +13.90%E +6.95%K +13.90%G +1.93%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -23.37%E -13.13%K -29.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 08:59
Betr (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV +12.76%E +6.44%K +13.02%G +1.66%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -22.51%E -12.50%K -28.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 09:04
NetBet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV +12.76%E +6.44%K +13.02%G +1.66%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -23.37%E -13.13%K -29.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 09:00
Marathon Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV +12.19%E +6.19%K +12.57%G +1.53%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -21.22%E -11.59%K -25.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 08:59
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV +11.05%E +5.67%K +11.63%G +1.29%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -21.65%E -11.89%K -26.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 09:05
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +11.05%E +5.67%K +11.63%G +1.29%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -22.51%E -12.50%K -28.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 09:02
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV +11.05%E +5.67%K +11.63%G +1.29%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -23.37%E -13.13%K -29.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 09:03
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV +11.05%E +5.67%K +11.63%G +1.29%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -23.37%E -13.13%K -29.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 09:04
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV +11.05%E +5.67%K +11.63%G +1.29%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -24.66%E -14.09%K -32.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-11 08:59
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV +9.34%E +4.87%K +10.15%G +0.949%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -18.20%E -9.58%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 09:04
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -0.909%E -0.523%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -11.74%E -5.73%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 09:14
DraftKings1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -10.02%E -4.80%K -9.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 09:14
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.19%E -1.87%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 09:15
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 09:14
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.15%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 09:14
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.15%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 09:14
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.15%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 09:14
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 09:14
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -13.90%E -6.95%K -13.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-11 09:14
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -7.87%E -3.68%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 09:14
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -7.87%E -3.68%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 09:14
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -7.87%E -3.68%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 09:14
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -7.87%E -3.68%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 09:14
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.03%E -3.66%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 09:15
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.03%E -3.66%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 09:15
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.03%E -3.66%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 09:15
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.03%E -3.66%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 09:14
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -6.60%E -4.03%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -2.27%E -1.00%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 09:14
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -6.60%E -4.03%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -8.73%E -4.12%K -7.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 09:14
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.17%E -4.40%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 09:15
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.982%E -0.427%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 09:15
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.982%E -0.427%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 09:15
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.982%E -0.427%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 09:14
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.982%E -0.427%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 09:15
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 09:14
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 09:14
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 09:15
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.31%E -5.16%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 09:14
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.31%E -5.16%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 09:14
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -8.88%E -5.55%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -1.84%E -0.808%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 09:15
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.88%E -5.55%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-11 09:15
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -8.88%E -5.55%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.74%E -5.73%K -11.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-11 09:14
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -9.45%E -5.94%K -16.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV +1.17%E +0.498%K +0.867%G +0.010%5.4%2026-05-11 09:15
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 57.82%EV -9.45%E -5.94%K -16.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -6.15%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 09:13
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -10.59%E -6.75%K -18.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -0.982%E -0.427%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 09:15
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -10.59%E -6.75%K -18.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-11 09:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -11.16%E -7.15%K -19.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -4.00%E -1.79%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-11 09:15
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -11.16%E -7.15%K -19.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-11 09:14
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -11.73%E -7.57%K -21.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV +1.17%E +0.498%K +0.867%G +0.010%7.1%2026-05-11 09:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -11.73%E -7.57%K -21.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -0.982%E -0.427%K -0.755%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 09:14
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -11.73%E -7.57%K -21.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -0.982%E -0.427%K -0.755%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 09:14
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -12.87%E -8.41%K -24.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +2.46%E +1.03%K +1.78%G +0.044%7.4%2026-05-11 09:13
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -14.58%E -9.72%K -29.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +11.93%E +4.59%K +7.46%G +0.890%5.1%2026-05-11 09:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-05-11 09:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-05-11 09:14
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-05-11 09:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-05-11 09:14
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%7.9%2026-05-11 09:15
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%8.0%2026-05-11 09:14