Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Solana Sierra v Tamara Korpatsch

Kickoff: 2026-05-06 13:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Solana Sierra (Local)

Prediction 58.13%1.72fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.693%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.58%58.15%58.14%60.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.631.621.7063.69%61.53%61.73%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tamara Korpatsch (Visit)

Prediction 41.87%2.39fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.504%
Kelly -0.874%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.95%41.85%41.86%43.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.272.302.3646.51%44.00%43.48%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Solana Sierra (Local): 58.13%; Tamara Korpatsch (Visit): 41.87%. For Solana Sierra (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.70, with an expected value of -1.18%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -1.18%E -0.693%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -4.96%E -2.18%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-06 12:50
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.34%E -1.39%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -3.70%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 13:04
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.92%E -1.75%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.03%E -0.866%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-06 12:50
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.92%E -1.75%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 12:49
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.92%E -1.75%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.50%E -2.11%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.70%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 12:49
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.50%E -2.11%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.63%E -2.97%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 12:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -3.50%E -2.11%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -7.47%E -3.38%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 13:03
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.08%E -2.48%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -2.44%E -1.05%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-06 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.08%E -2.48%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -2.44%E -1.05%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-06 12:50
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.48%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.79%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 12:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.48%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.79%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 12:50
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.08%E -2.48%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 12:50
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.08%E -2.48%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 12:50
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.08%E -2.48%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 12:50
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.08%E -2.48%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.98%E -4.64%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.08%E -2.48%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.98%E -4.64%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 12:50
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.08%E -2.48%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.98%E -4.64%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 12:50
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.67%E -2.84%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -9.98%E -4.64%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.67%E -2.84%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -9.98%E -4.64%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 12:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.25%E -3.22%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.79%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 13:00
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.61%E -0.684%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 12:59
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 12:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.28%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 12:50
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.28%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 12:54
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.70%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:50
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.70%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.79%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 12:50
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.79%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 12:49
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.98%E -4.64%K -8.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 12:59
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:49
LeoVegas🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:50
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:49
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:50
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:50
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:49
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:50
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:55
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.70%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 12:49
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.70%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 12:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.70%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 12:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.70%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 12:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.70%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 12:55
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.61%E -0.684%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 13:05
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.61%E -0.684%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 13:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -4.54%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 12:50
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 12:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 12:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -8.15%E -5.16%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -4.54%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 12:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -8.15%E -5.16%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -4.54%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 12:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -8.15%E -5.16%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 13:03
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -8.73%E -5.56%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -1.19%E -0.504%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 13:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-05-06 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-05-06 13:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-05-06 13:05
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-05-06 13:05
Novig1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%2.1%2026-05-06 13:05
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-05-06 13:04