La escuela de los momios

Solana Sierra v Tamara Korpatsch

Inicio: 2026-05-06 13:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Solana Sierra (Local)

Predicción 58.13%1.72momio equitativo
EV -1.18%
Ventaja -0.693%
Kelly -1.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.58%58.15%58.14%60.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.631.621.7063.69%61.53%61.73%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tamara Korpatsch (Visitante)

Predicción 41.87%2.39momio equitativo
EV -1.19%
Ventaja -0.504%
Kelly -0.874%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.95%41.85%41.86%43.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.272.302.3646.51%44.00%43.48%42.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -1.18%E -0.693%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -4.96%E -2.18%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-06 12:50
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.34%E -1.39%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -3.70%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 13:04
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.92%E -1.75%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.03%E -0.866%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-06 12:50
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.92%E -1.75%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 12:49
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.92%E -1.75%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:04
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.50%E -2.11%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.70%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 12:49
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.50%E -2.11%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.63%E -2.97%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 12:54
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -3.50%E -2.11%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -7.47%E -3.38%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 13:03
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.08%E -2.48%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -2.44%E -1.05%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-06 12:50
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.08%E -2.48%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -2.44%E -1.05%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-06 12:50
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.48%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.79%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 12:50
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.48%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.79%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 12:50
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.08%E -2.48%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 12:50
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.08%E -2.48%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 12:50
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.08%E -2.48%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 12:50
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.08%E -2.48%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.98%E -4.64%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.08%E -2.48%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.98%E -4.64%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 12:50
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.08%E -2.48%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.98%E -4.64%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 12:50
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.67%E -2.84%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -9.98%E -4.64%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.67%E -2.84%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -9.98%E -4.64%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 12:50
Betr (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.25%E -3.22%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.79%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 13:00
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.61%E -0.684%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 12:59
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 12:49
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.28%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 12:50
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.28%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 12:54
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.70%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:50
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.70%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:55
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.79%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 12:50
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.79%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 12:49
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.98%E -4.64%K -8.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 12:59
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:49
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:50
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:49
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:50
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:50
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:50
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:50
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:49
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:50
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:55
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:55
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:55
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:55
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.70%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 12:49
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.70%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 12:50
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.70%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 12:55
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.70%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 12:55
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.70%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 12:55
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.61%E -0.684%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 13:05
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.61%E -0.684%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 13:05
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -4.54%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 12:50
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 12:49
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 12:50
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -8.15%E -5.16%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -4.54%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 12:50
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -8.15%E -5.16%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -4.54%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 12:50
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -8.15%E -5.16%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 13:03
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -8.73%E -5.56%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -1.19%E -0.504%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 13:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-05-06 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-05-06 13:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-05-06 13:05
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-05-06 13:05
Novig1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%2.1%2026-05-06 13:05
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-05-06 13:04