Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Solana Sierra v Tamara Korpatsch

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-06 13:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Solana Sierra (Local)

Prévision 58.13%1.72cote équitable
EV -1.18%
Avantage -0.693%
Kelly -1.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.58%58.15%58.14%60.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.571.631.621.7063.69%61.53%61.73%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Tamara Korpatsch (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.87%2.39cote équitable
EV -1.19%
Avantage -0.504%
Kelly -0.874%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.95%41.85%41.86%43.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.272.302.3646.51%44.00%43.48%42.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Solana Sierra (Local) : 58.13% ; Tamara Korpatsch (Visiteur) : 41.87%. Pour Solana Sierra (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.72. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.70, pour une espérance de -1.18% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -1.18%E -0.693%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -4.96%E -2.18%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-06 12:50
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.34%E -1.39%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -3.70%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 13:04
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.92%E -1.75%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.03%E -0.866%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-06 12:50
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.92%E -1.75%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 12:49
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.92%E -1.75%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.50%E -2.11%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.70%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 12:49
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.50%E -2.11%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.63%E -2.97%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 12:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -3.50%E -2.11%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -7.47%E -3.38%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 13:03
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.08%E -2.48%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -2.44%E -1.05%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-06 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.08%E -2.48%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -2.44%E -1.05%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-06 12:50
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.48%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.79%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 12:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.48%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.79%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 12:50
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.08%E -2.48%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 12:50
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.08%E -2.48%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 12:50
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.08%E -2.48%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 12:50
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.08%E -2.48%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.98%E -4.64%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.08%E -2.48%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.98%E -4.64%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 12:50
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.08%E -2.48%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.98%E -4.64%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 12:50
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.67%E -2.84%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -9.98%E -4.64%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.67%E -2.84%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -9.98%E -4.64%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 12:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.25%E -3.22%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.79%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 13:00
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.61%E -0.684%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 12:59
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 12:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.28%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 12:50
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.28%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 12:54
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.70%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:50
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.70%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.79%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 12:50
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.79%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 12:49
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.98%E -4.64%K -8.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 12:59
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:49
LeoVegas🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:50
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:49
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:50
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:50
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:49
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:50
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:55
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.70%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 12:49
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.70%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 12:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.70%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 12:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.70%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 12:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.70%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 12:55
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.61%E -0.684%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 13:05
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.61%E -0.684%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 13:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -4.54%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 12:50
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 12:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 12:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -8.15%E -5.16%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -4.54%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 12:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -8.15%E -5.16%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -4.54%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 12:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -8.15%E -5.16%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 13:03
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -8.73%E -5.56%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -1.19%E -0.504%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 13:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-05-06 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-05-06 13:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-05-06 13:05
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-05-06 13:05
Novig1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%2.1%2026-05-06 13:05
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-05-06 13:04