Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.12
assuming max odds 1.45
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Solana Sierra (Local): 33.14%; Anhelina Kalinina (Visit): 66.86%. For Solana Sierra (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.02. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.41%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV +3.41%E +1.09%K +1.61%G +0.055% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%EV -5.73%E -4.06%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-07 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV +1.09%E +0.356%K +0.530%G +0.006% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.571%E -0.190%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 15:41 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.23%E -0.755%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.23%E -0.755%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -2.56%E -0.871%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -2.56%E -0.871%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -2.89%E -0.987%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -5.73%E -4.06%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -3.22%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -3.22%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 16:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.89%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.06%E -2.11%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 08:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.89%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.89%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -3.89%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.74%E -5.61%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.55%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.73%E -2.59%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.55%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 18:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.54%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.73%E -2.59%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -5.54%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.41%E -6.14%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -5.87%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.06%E -2.11%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -5.87%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.06%E -2.11%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -5.87%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -6.21%E -2.19%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -3.73%E -2.59%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 09:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 09:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 15:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 15:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 15:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 15:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 15:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 15:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 15:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 15:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 15:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.73%E -2.59%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.73%E -2.59%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 18:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 15:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 15:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 15:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 19:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -10.51%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.06%E -2.11%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.51%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.51%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 18:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.51%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.51%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.82% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.18% | 0.6% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 2.2% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |