La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Solana Sierra v Anhelina Kalinina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Solana Sierra (Local)
Predicción 33.14%3.02momio equitativo
EV +3.41%
Ventaja +1.09%
Kelly +1.61%
Crecimiento +0.055%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.13%33.05%33.33%34.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.822.803.1237.04%35.41%35.71%32.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Anhelina Kalinina (Visitante)
Predicción 66.86%1.50momio equitativo
EV -3.06%
Ventaja -2.11%
Kelly -6.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.06%66.95%66.67%68.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.371.421.421.4572.99%70.49%70.42%68.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV +3.41%E +1.09%K +1.61%G +0.055% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%EV -5.73%E -4.06%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-07 16:20 |
| Coolbet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV +1.09%E +0.356%K +0.530%G +0.006% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| BetUS | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.571%E -0.190%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 15:41 |
| Bet Right | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.23%E -0.755%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.23%E -0.755%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -2.56%E -0.871%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -2.56%E -0.871%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -2.89%E -0.987%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -5.73%E -4.06%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -3.22%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -3.22%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 16:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.89%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.06%E -2.11%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 08:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.89%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| theScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.89%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -3.89%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.74%E -5.61%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.55%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.73%E -2.59%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.55%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 18:25 |
| ReBet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.54%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.73%E -2.59%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 15:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -5.54%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.41%E -6.14%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -5.87%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.06%E -2.11%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -5.87%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.06%E -2.11%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -5.87%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -6.21%E -2.19%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -3.73%E -2.59%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 09:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 09:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 15:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 15:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 15:30 |
| Casumo | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 15:30 |
| Unibet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 15:30 |
| betPARX | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 15:30 |
| Bally Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 15:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 15:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 15:30 |
| Betsson | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.73%E -2.59%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.73%E -2.59%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| Caesars | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 18:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 15:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 15:30 |
| 888sport | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 15:34 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 19:00 |
| Everygame | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -10.51%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.06%E -2.11%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.51%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 18:55 |
| Neds | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.51%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 18:55 |
| TAB | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.51%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.51%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.82% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.18% | 0.6% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 2.2% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |