L’École des cotes

Solana Sierra v Anhelina Kalinina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-07 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Solana Sierra (Local)

Prévision 33.14%3.02cote équitable
EV +3.41%
Avantage +1.09%
Kelly +1.61%
Croissance +0.055%

avec la cote maximale 3.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.13%33.05%33.33%34.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.822.803.1237.04%35.41%35.71%32.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Anhelina Kalinina (Visiteur)

Prévision 66.86%1.50cote équitable
EV -3.06%
Avantage -2.11%
Kelly -6.79%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.06%66.95%66.67%68.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.371.421.421.4572.99%70.49%70.42%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV +3.41%E +1.09%K +1.61%G +0.055%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%EV -5.73%E -4.06%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-07 16:20
Coolbet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV +1.09%E +0.356%K +0.530%G +0.006%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 16:55
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.571%E -0.190%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 15:41
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.23%E -0.755%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:55
Fanatics2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.23%E -0.755%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:55
PointsBet (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -2.56%E -0.871%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 16:55
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -2.56%E -0.871%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 16:55
SportsBet2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -2.89%E -0.987%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -5.73%E -4.06%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 16:55
FanDuel2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -3.22%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 16:55
Betclic (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -3.22%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 16:39
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.89%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.06%E -2.11%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-07 08:30
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.89%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 16:55
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.89%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 16:45
NetBet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -3.89%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.74%E -5.61%K -20.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 16:55
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.55%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.73%E -2.59%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 16:55
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.55%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 18:25
ReBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.54%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.73%E -2.59%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 15:45
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -5.54%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.41%E -6.14%K -22.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 16:20
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -5.87%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.06%E -2.11%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 16:50
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -5.87%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.06%E -2.11%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 16:50
DraftKings2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -5.87%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 16:55
Unibet (UK)2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -6.21%E -2.19%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -3.73%E -2.59%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 09:20
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 09:20
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 19:00
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 15:30
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 15:30
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 15:30
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 15:30
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 15:30
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 15:30
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 15:30
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 15:30
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 15:30
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 15:30
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 15:30
Hard Rock Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 15:30
Betsson2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 16:55
NordicBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 16:55
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.73%E -2.59%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 16:50
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.73%E -2.59%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 16:50
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 18:59
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 15:30
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 15:30
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 15:30
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 16:55
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 15:34
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 19:00
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 16:50
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 16:55
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 16:55
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -10.51%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.06%E -2.11%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.51%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 18:55
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.51%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 18:55
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.51%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.06%E -3.57%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 16:50
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.51%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 16:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig3.03I 33.00%NM 32.82%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.18%0.6%2026-05-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-05-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-05-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-05-07 16:55
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-05-07 16:55
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%2.2%2026-05-07 16:55