Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sofia Kenin v Bianca Andreescu

Kickoff: 2026-05-05 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sofia Kenin (Local)

Prediction 43.55%2.30fair odd
EV +5.39%
Edge +2.23%
Kelly +3.80%
Growth +0.205%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.23%43.57%43.72%48.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.132.122.4251.81%46.86%47.17%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bianca Andreescu (Visit)

Prediction 56.45%1.77fair odd
EV +5.56%
Edge +2.97%
Kelly +6.39%
Growth +0.356%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.30%56.43%56.28%60.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.691.671.8765.36%59.29%59.88%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sofia Kenin (Local): 43.55%; Bianca Andreescu (Visit): 56.45%. For Bianca Andreescu (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.77. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.56%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -14.21%E -7.21%K -14.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV +5.56%E +2.97%K +6.39%G +0.356%4.2%2026-05-05 05:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -14.64%E -7.47%K -15.25%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV +5.00%E +2.69%K +5.81%G +0.290%4.8%2026-05-05 07:53
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -14.64%E -7.47%K -15.25%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV +5.00%E +2.69%K +5.81%G +0.290%4.8%2026-05-05 07:55
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -12.03%E -5.96%K -11.79%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +2.74%E +1.51%K +3.34%G +0.092%4.5%2026-05-05 11:17
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -15.95%E -8.26%K -17.15%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV +2.18%E +1.20%K +2.69%G +0.058%7.1%2026-05-05 11:20
ReBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -11.59%E -5.71%K -11.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV +1.61%E +0.895%K +2.01%G +0.032%4.8%2026-05-05 10:05
Bet Right🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -12.03%E -5.96%K -11.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV +1.61%E +0.895%K +2.01%G +0.032%5.1%2026-05-05 07:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -12.90%E -6.45%K -12.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +1.61%E +0.895%K +2.01%G +0.032%5.6%2026-05-05 10:35
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -12.90%E -6.45%K -12.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +1.61%E +0.895%K +2.01%G +0.032%5.6%2026-05-05 07:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -12.03%E -5.96%K -11.79%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV +1.05%E +0.584%K +1.32%G +0.014%5.4%2026-05-05 11:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -12.90%E -6.45%K -12.90%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV +0.482%E +0.271%K +0.617%G +0.003%6.2%2026-05-05 08:40
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -12.90%E -6.45%K -12.90%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV +0.482%E +0.271%K +0.617%G +0.003%6.2%2026-05-05 07:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -15.08%E -7.73%K -15.87%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV +0.482%E +0.271%K +0.617%G +0.003%7.5%2026-05-05 07:15
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -15.08%E -7.73%K -15.87%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV +0.482%E +0.271%K +0.617%G +0.003%7.5%2026-05-05 07:15
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -10.72%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -0.083%E -0.047%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 11:29
DraftKings🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -11.59%E -5.71%K -11.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -0.647%E -0.368%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 11:30
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -15.08%E -7.73%K -15.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -1.21%E -0.693%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-05 07:55
GTbets🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -8.11%E -3.84%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -1.78%E -1.02%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-04 16:40
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.90%E -6.45%K -12.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 11:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.72%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 11:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.80%E -3.18%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 11:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.80%E -3.18%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 11:30
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 11:30
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.67%E -3.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 11:30
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 11:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 11:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -12.90%E -6.45%K -12.90%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 11:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.16%E -3.07%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 11:30
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.16%E -3.07%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 11:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -2.45%E -1.09%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 11:30
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 11:30
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -9.42%E -4.53%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 11:30
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:30
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:30
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:30
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:30
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:30
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 11:30
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -2.88%E -1.29%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 11:30
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85%EV +2.78%E +1.18%K +2.04%G +0.057%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%EV -7.99%E -4.90%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 11:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.99%E -4.90%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 11:30
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.99%E -4.90%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 11:30
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.55%E -5.28%K -13.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 11:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.20%EV -7.24%E -3.40%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.80%EV -8.55%E -5.28%K -13.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-05 11:29
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -9.11%E -5.66%K -14.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 11:30
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -9.11%E -5.66%K -14.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 11:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.11%E -5.66%K -14.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 11:30
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.11%E -5.66%K -14.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-05 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -5.50%E -2.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -9.68%E -6.05%K -16.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-05 11:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -12.90%E -6.45%K -12.90%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.87%EV -10.81%E -6.84%K -18.64%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-05 11:30
Coolbet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV +5.39%E +2.23%K +3.80%G +0.205%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -11.37%E -7.24%K -19.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 11:29
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +0.164%E +0.071%K +0.126%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -11.37%E -7.24%K -19.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 11:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +0.164%E +0.071%K +0.126%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -11.37%E -7.24%K -19.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 11:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -7.67%E -3.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.61%EV -11.94%E -7.65%K -21.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-05 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV +3.21%E +1.36%K +2.35%G +0.075%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -13.63%E -8.91%K -25.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 11:30
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV +3.21%E +1.36%K +2.35%G +0.075%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -13.63%E -8.91%K -25.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 11:30
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV +2.34%E +0.996%K +1.73%G +0.041%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -13.63%E -8.91%K -25.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-05 11:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-05-05 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-05-05 11:30
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%1.7%2026-05-05 11:30
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%1.7%2026-05-05 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%7.3%2026-05-05 11:30
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%9.3%2026-05-05 11:27