La escuela de los momios

Sofia Kenin v Bianca Andreescu

Inicio: 2026-05-05 12:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sofia Kenin (Local)

Predicción 43.55%2.30momio equitativo
EV +5.39%
Ventaja +2.23%
Kelly +3.80%
Crecimiento +0.205%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.23%43.57%43.72%48.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.932.132.122.4251.81%46.86%47.17%41.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bianca Andreescu (Visitante)

Predicción 56.45%1.77momio equitativo
EV +5.56%
Ventaja +2.97%
Kelly +6.39%
Crecimiento +0.356%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.30%56.43%56.28%60.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.691.671.8765.36%59.29%59.88%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -14.21%E -7.21%K -14.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV +5.56%E +2.97%K +6.39%G +0.356%4.2%2026-05-05 05:15
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -14.64%E -7.47%K -15.25%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV +5.00%E +2.69%K +5.81%G +0.290%4.8%2026-05-05 07:53
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -14.64%E -7.47%K -15.25%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV +5.00%E +2.69%K +5.81%G +0.290%4.8%2026-05-05 07:55
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -12.03%E -5.96%K -11.79%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +2.74%E +1.51%K +3.34%G +0.092%4.5%2026-05-05 11:17
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -15.95%E -8.26%K -17.15%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV +2.18%E +1.20%K +2.69%G +0.058%7.1%2026-05-05 11:20
ReBet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -11.59%E -5.71%K -11.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV +1.61%E +0.895%K +2.01%G +0.032%4.8%2026-05-05 10:05
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -12.03%E -5.96%K -11.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV +1.61%E +0.895%K +2.01%G +0.032%5.1%2026-05-05 07:10
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -12.90%E -6.45%K -12.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +1.61%E +0.895%K +2.01%G +0.032%5.6%2026-05-05 10:35
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -12.90%E -6.45%K -12.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +1.61%E +0.895%K +2.01%G +0.032%5.6%2026-05-05 07:44
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -12.03%E -5.96%K -11.79%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV +1.05%E +0.584%K +1.32%G +0.014%5.4%2026-05-05 11:14
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -12.90%E -6.45%K -12.90%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV +0.482%E +0.271%K +0.617%G +0.003%6.2%2026-05-05 08:40
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -12.90%E -6.45%K -12.90%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV +0.482%E +0.271%K +0.617%G +0.003%6.2%2026-05-05 07:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -15.08%E -7.73%K -15.87%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV +0.482%E +0.271%K +0.617%G +0.003%7.5%2026-05-05 07:15
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -15.08%E -7.73%K -15.87%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV +0.482%E +0.271%K +0.617%G +0.003%7.5%2026-05-05 07:15
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -10.72%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -0.083%E -0.047%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 11:29
DraftKings2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -11.59%E -5.71%K -11.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -0.647%E -0.368%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 11:30
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -15.08%E -7.73%K -15.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -1.21%E -0.693%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-05 07:55
GTbets2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -8.11%E -3.84%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -1.78%E -1.02%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-04 16:40
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.90%E -6.45%K -12.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 11:30
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.72%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 11:20
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.80%E -3.18%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 11:30
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.80%E -3.18%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 11:30
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 11:30
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.67%E -3.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 11:30
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 11:30
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 11:30
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -12.90%E -6.45%K -12.90%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 11:30
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.16%E -3.07%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 11:30
Bally Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.16%E -3.07%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 11:30
Unibet (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -2.45%E -1.09%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 11:30
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 11:30
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -9.42%E -4.53%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 11:30
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:30
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:30
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:30
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:30
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:30
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:30
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:30
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:30
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 11:30
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -2.88%E -1.29%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 11:30
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85%EV +2.78%E +1.18%K +2.04%G +0.057%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%EV -7.99%E -4.90%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 11:30
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.99%E -4.90%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 11:30
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.99%E -4.90%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 11:30
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.55%E -5.28%K -13.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 11:30
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 43.20%EV -7.24%E -3.40%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.80%EV -8.55%E -5.28%K -13.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-05 11:29
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -9.11%E -5.66%K -14.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 11:30
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -9.11%E -5.66%K -14.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 11:30
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.11%E -5.66%K -14.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 11:30
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.11%E -5.66%K -14.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-05 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -5.50%E -2.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -9.68%E -6.05%K -16.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-05 11:30
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -12.90%E -6.45%K -12.90%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.87%EV -10.81%E -6.84%K -18.64%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-05 11:30
Coolbet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV +5.39%E +2.23%K +3.80%G +0.205%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -11.37%E -7.24%K -19.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 11:29
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +0.164%E +0.071%K +0.126%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -11.37%E -7.24%K -19.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 11:29
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +0.164%E +0.071%K +0.126%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -11.37%E -7.24%K -19.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 11:29
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -7.67%E -3.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.61%EV -11.94%E -7.65%K -21.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-05 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV +3.21%E +1.36%K +2.35%G +0.075%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -13.63%E -8.91%K -25.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 11:30
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV +3.21%E +1.36%K +2.35%G +0.075%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -13.63%E -8.91%K -25.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 11:30
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV +2.34%E +0.996%K +1.73%G +0.041%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -13.63%E -8.91%K -25.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-05 11:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-05-05 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-05-05 11:30
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%1.7%2026-05-05 11:30
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%1.7%2026-05-05 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%7.3%2026-05-05 11:30
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%9.3%2026-05-05 11:27