L’École des cotes

Sofia Kenin v Bianca Andreescu

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-05 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sofia Kenin (Local)

Prévision 43.55%2.30cote équitable
EV +5.39%
Avantage +2.23%
Kelly +3.80%
Croissance +0.205%

avec la cote maximale 2.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.23%43.57%43.72%48.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.932.132.122.4251.81%46.86%47.17%41.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bianca Andreescu (Visiteur)

Prévision 56.45%1.77cote équitable
EV +5.56%
Avantage +2.97%
Kelly +6.39%
Croissance +0.356%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.30%56.43%56.28%60.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.691.671.8765.36%59.29%59.88%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -14.21%E -7.21%K -14.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV +5.56%E +2.97%K +6.39%G +0.356%4.2%2026-05-05 05:15
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -14.64%E -7.47%K -15.25%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV +5.00%E +2.69%K +5.81%G +0.290%4.8%2026-05-05 07:53
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -14.64%E -7.47%K -15.25%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV +5.00%E +2.69%K +5.81%G +0.290%4.8%2026-05-05 07:55
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -12.03%E -5.96%K -11.79%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +2.74%E +1.51%K +3.34%G +0.092%4.5%2026-05-05 11:17
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -15.95%E -8.26%K -17.15%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV +2.18%E +1.20%K +2.69%G +0.058%7.1%2026-05-05 11:20
ReBet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -11.59%E -5.71%K -11.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV +1.61%E +0.895%K +2.01%G +0.032%4.8%2026-05-05 10:05
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -12.03%E -5.96%K -11.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV +1.61%E +0.895%K +2.01%G +0.032%5.1%2026-05-05 07:10
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -12.90%E -6.45%K -12.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +1.61%E +0.895%K +2.01%G +0.032%5.6%2026-05-05 10:35
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -12.90%E -6.45%K -12.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +1.61%E +0.895%K +2.01%G +0.032%5.6%2026-05-05 07:44
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -12.03%E -5.96%K -11.79%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV +1.05%E +0.584%K +1.32%G +0.014%5.4%2026-05-05 11:14
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -12.90%E -6.45%K -12.90%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV +0.482%E +0.271%K +0.617%G +0.003%6.2%2026-05-05 08:40
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -12.90%E -6.45%K -12.90%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV +0.482%E +0.271%K +0.617%G +0.003%6.2%2026-05-05 07:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -15.08%E -7.73%K -15.87%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV +0.482%E +0.271%K +0.617%G +0.003%7.5%2026-05-05 07:15
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -15.08%E -7.73%K -15.87%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV +0.482%E +0.271%K +0.617%G +0.003%7.5%2026-05-05 07:15
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -10.72%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -0.083%E -0.047%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 11:29
DraftKings2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -11.59%E -5.71%K -11.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -0.647%E -0.368%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 11:30
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -15.08%E -7.73%K -15.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -1.21%E -0.693%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-05 07:55
GTbets2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -8.11%E -3.84%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -1.78%E -1.02%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-04 16:40
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.90%E -6.45%K -12.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 11:30
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.72%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 11:20
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.80%E -3.18%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 11:30
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.80%E -3.18%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 11:30
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 11:30
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.67%E -3.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 11:30
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 11:30
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 11:30
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -12.90%E -6.45%K -12.90%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 11:30
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.16%E -3.07%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 11:30
Bally Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.16%E -3.07%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 11:30
Unibet (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -2.45%E -1.09%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 11:30
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 11:30
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -9.42%E -4.53%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 11:30
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:30
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:30
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:30
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:30
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:30
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:30
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:30
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:30
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.86%E -4.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 11:30
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -2.88%E -1.29%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -7.42%E -4.53%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 11:30
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85%EV +2.78%E +1.18%K +2.04%G +0.057%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%EV -7.99%E -4.90%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 11:30
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.99%E -4.90%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 11:30
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.99%E -4.90%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 11:30
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.55%E -5.28%K -13.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 11:30
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 43.20%EV -7.24%E -3.40%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.80%EV -8.55%E -5.28%K -13.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-05 11:29
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -9.11%E -5.66%K -14.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 11:30
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -9.11%E -5.66%K -14.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 11:30
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.11%E -5.66%K -14.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 11:30
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.11%E -5.66%K -14.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-05 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -5.50%E -2.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -9.68%E -6.05%K -16.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-05 11:30
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -12.90%E -6.45%K -12.90%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.87%EV -10.81%E -6.84%K -18.64%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-05 11:30
Coolbet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV +5.39%E +2.23%K +3.80%G +0.205%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -11.37%E -7.24%K -19.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 11:29
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +0.164%E +0.071%K +0.126%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -11.37%E -7.24%K -19.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 11:29
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +0.164%E +0.071%K +0.126%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -11.37%E -7.24%K -19.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 11:29
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -7.67%E -3.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.61%EV -11.94%E -7.65%K -21.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-05 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV +3.21%E +1.36%K +2.35%G +0.075%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -13.63%E -8.91%K -25.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 11:30
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV +3.21%E +1.36%K +2.35%G +0.075%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -13.63%E -8.91%K -25.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 11:30
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV +2.34%E +0.996%K +1.73%G +0.041%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -13.63%E -8.91%K -25.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-05 11:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-05-05 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-05-05 11:30
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%1.7%2026-05-05 11:30
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%1.7%2026-05-05 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%7.3%2026-05-05 11:30
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%9.3%2026-05-05 11:27