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Panna Udvardy v Elise Mertens
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Panna Udvardy (Local)
Prediction 22.32%4.48fair odd
EV +14.50%
Edge +2.83%
Kelly +3.51%
Growth +0.509%
assuming max odds 5.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.57%22.12%22.26%24.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.274.275.1327.40%23.42%23.42%19.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elise Mertens (Visit)
Prediction 77.68%1.29fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -11.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.55%77.88%77.74%81.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.201.201.2586.96%83.04%83.33%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panna Udvardy (Local): 22.32%; Elise Mertens (Visit): 77.68%. For Panna Udvardy (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.48. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.13, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.50%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.57%EV +14.50%E +2.83%K +3.51%G +0.509% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.43%EV -9.11%E -7.79%K -53.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +11.59%E +2.32%K +2.90%G +0.336% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -9.11%E -7.79%K -53.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 09:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +4.90%E +1.04%K +1.32%G +0.065% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.67%E +0.580%K +0.741%G +0.020% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.67%E +0.580%K +0.741%G +0.020% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.67%E +0.580%K +0.741%G +0.020% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.67%E +0.580%K +0.741%G +0.020% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.67%E +0.580%K +0.741%G +0.020% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.67%E +0.580%K +0.741%G +0.020% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +2.67%E +0.580%K +0.741%G +0.020% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -8.34%E -7.06%K -46.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV +1.55%E +0.341%K +0.437%G +0.007% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -8.34%E -7.06%K -46.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV +1.55%E +0.341%K +0.437%G +0.007% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -8.34%E -7.06%K -46.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +0.435%E +0.097%K +0.124%G +0.001% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.34%E -7.06%K -46.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +0.435%E +0.097%K +0.124%G +0.001% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.11%E -7.79%K -53.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +0.435%E +0.097%K +0.124%G +0.001% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.11%E -7.79%K -53.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +0.435%E +0.097%K +0.124%G +0.001% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.11%E -7.79%K -53.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.64%EV +0.212%E +0.047%K +0.061%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.36%EV -3.68%E -2.96%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-07 09:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -0.681%E -0.153%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -6.01%E -4.96%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 09:07 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -1.80%E -0.408%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -7.56%E -6.35%K -39.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -1.80%E -0.408%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -7.56%E -6.35%K -39.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -1.80%E -0.408%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -7.56%E -6.35%K -39.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -1.80%E -0.408%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -7.56%E -6.35%K -39.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -1.80%E -0.408%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -7.56%E -6.35%K -39.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -1.80%E -0.408%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.34%E -7.06%K -46.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -1.80%E -0.408%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.34%E -7.06%K -46.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -2.91%E -0.670%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -8.34%E -7.06%K -46.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.36%E -0.776%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.03%E -0.937%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.23%E -4.29%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 09:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -4.03%E -0.937%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -9.11%E -7.79%K -53.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.32%EV -4.48%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.68%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 09:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -4.70%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 09:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -4.70%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 09:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -5.14%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 09:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.14%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.23%E -4.29%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 09:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.04%EV -6.04%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.96%EV -7.56%E -6.35%K -39.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 08:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 09:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.34%E -7.06%K -46.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.50%EV -10.67%E -9.28%K -71.11%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -7.38%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 09:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -7.38%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.23%E -4.29%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 09:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.68%E -2.96%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 09:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -10.50%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -2.90%E -2.32%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 09:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.90%E -2.32%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.68%E -2.96%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 09:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.68%E -2.96%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 09:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.23%E -4.29%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.23%E -4.29%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 09:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.23%E -4.29%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.23%E -4.29%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.23%E -4.29%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.23%E -4.29%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 09:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -7.56%E -6.35%K -39.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -11.84%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.39%EV -12.29%E -3.13%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.61%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-07 09:08 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -15.19%E -4.00%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 09:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -15.19%E -4.00%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -5.23%E -4.29%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 09:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -15.19%E -4.00%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -5.23%E -4.29%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 09:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -16.30%E -4.35%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -6.01%E -4.96%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.43%EV -18.54%E -5.08%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.57%EV -8.34%E -7.06%K -46.31%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41% | 1.5% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 1.6% | 2026-05-07 09:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 1.6% | 2026-05-07 09:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48% | 3.3% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| Novig◎ | 4.88I 20.49%NM 18.80% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.20% | 9.0% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |