L’École des cotes

Panna Udvardy v Elise Mertens

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-07 09:11 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Panna Udvardy (Local)

Prévision 22.32%4.48cote équitable
EV +14.50%
Avantage +2.83%
Kelly +3.51%
Croissance +0.509%

avec la cote maximale 5.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.57%22.12%22.26%24.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.654.274.275.1327.40%23.42%23.42%19.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elise Mertens (Visiteur)

Prévision 77.68%1.29cote équitable
EV -2.90%
Avantage -2.32%
Kelly -11.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.55%77.88%77.74%81.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.151.201.201.2586.96%83.04%83.33%80.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings5.13I 19.49%NM 18.57%EV +14.50%E +2.83%K +3.51%G +0.509%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.43%EV -9.11%E -7.79%K -53.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 09:10
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +11.59%E +2.32%K +2.90%G +0.336%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -9.11%E -7.79%K -53.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 09:04
Unibet (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +4.90%E +1.04%K +1.32%G +0.065%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 09:10
Casumo4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.67%E +0.580%K +0.741%G +0.020%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 09:10
Unibet (NL)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.67%E +0.580%K +0.741%G +0.020%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 09:10
Unibet (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.67%E +0.580%K +0.741%G +0.020%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 09:10
ATG (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.67%E +0.580%K +0.741%G +0.020%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 09:10
betPARX4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.67%E +0.580%K +0.741%G +0.020%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 09:10
Svenska Spel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.67%E +0.580%K +0.741%G +0.020%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 09:10
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +2.67%E +0.580%K +0.741%G +0.020%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -8.34%E -7.06%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 09:10
Betsson4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV +1.55%E +0.341%K +0.437%G +0.007%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -8.34%E -7.06%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 09:10
NordicBet4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV +1.55%E +0.341%K +0.437%G +0.007%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -8.34%E -7.06%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 09:10
BetMGM4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +0.435%E +0.097%K +0.124%G +0.001%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.34%E -7.06%K -46.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 09:10
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +0.435%E +0.097%K +0.124%G +0.001%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.11%E -7.79%K -53.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 09:10
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +0.435%E +0.097%K +0.124%G +0.001%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.11%E -7.79%K -53.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 09:10
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +0.435%E +0.097%K +0.124%G +0.001%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.11%E -7.79%K -53.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 09:10
Pinnacle4.49I 22.27%NM 21.64%EV +0.212%E +0.047%K +0.061%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.36%EV -3.68%E -2.96%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-07 09:05
SportsBet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -0.681%E -0.153%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -6.01%E -4.96%K -28.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 09:07
Virgin Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -1.80%E -0.408%K -0.529%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -7.56%E -6.35%K -39.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 09:10
Grosvenor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -1.80%E -0.408%K -0.529%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -7.56%E -6.35%K -39.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 09:10
LiveScore Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -1.80%E -0.408%K -0.529%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -7.56%E -6.35%K -39.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 09:10
BetRivers4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -1.80%E -0.408%K -0.529%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -7.56%E -6.35%K -39.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 09:10
Bally Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -1.80%E -0.408%K -0.529%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -7.56%E -6.35%K -39.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 09:10
Caesars4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -1.80%E -0.408%K -0.529%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.34%E -7.06%K -46.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 09:10
TAB4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -1.80%E -0.408%K -0.529%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.34%E -7.06%K -46.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 09:10
LeoVegas4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -2.91%E -0.670%K -0.870%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -8.34%E -7.06%K -46.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 09:10
888sport (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.36%E -0.776%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 09:10
FanDuel4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.03%E -0.937%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.23%E -4.29%K -23.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 09:09
LeoVegas (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -4.03%E -0.937%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -9.11%E -7.79%K -53.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-07 09:10
BetUS4.28I 23.36%NM 22.32%EV -4.48%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.68%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 09:05
LowVig.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -4.70%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 09:05
BetOnline.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -4.70%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 09:05
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -5.14%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 09:04
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.14%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.23%E -4.29%K -23.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 09:05
GTbets4.21I 23.75%NM 22.04%EV -6.04%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.96%EV -7.56%E -6.35%K -39.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 08:59
NetBet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 09:00
Fanatics4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.34%E -7.06%K -46.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 09:10
PMU (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 78.50%EV -10.67%E -9.28%K -71.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-07 09:10
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -7.38%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 09:09
Betr (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -7.38%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.23%E -4.29%K -23.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 09:04
Coolbet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.68%E -2.96%K -15.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 09:09
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 09:10
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -10.50%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -2.90%E -2.32%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 09:05
ReBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.90%E -2.32%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:59
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.68%E -2.96%K -15.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 09:05
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.68%E -2.96%K -15.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 09:03
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.23%E -4.29%K -23.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 09:10
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.23%E -4.29%K -23.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 09:09
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.23%E -4.29%K -23.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 09:10
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.23%E -4.29%K -23.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.23%E -4.29%K -23.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 09:10
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.23%E -4.29%K -23.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 09:10
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 09:04
Fliff4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -7.56%E -6.35%K -39.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 09:10
TABtouch3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -11.84%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 09:10
Betclic (FR)3.93I 25.45%NM 23.39%EV -12.29%E -3.13%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.61%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-07 09:08
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -15.19%E -4.00%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 09:05
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -15.19%E -4.00%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -5.23%E -4.29%K -23.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 09:05
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -15.19%E -4.00%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -5.23%E -4.29%K -23.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 09:05
Winamax (DE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -16.30%E -4.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -6.01%E -4.96%K -28.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-07 09:10
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.43%EV -18.54%E -5.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 75.57%EV -8.34%E -7.06%K -46.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-07 09:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-05-07 09:10
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%1.5%2026-05-07 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%1.6%2026-05-07 09:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%1.6%2026-05-07 09:05
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%3.3%2026-05-07 09:10
Novig4.88I 20.49%NM 18.80%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.20%9.0%2026-05-07 09:10