مدرسة الاحتمالات

Panna Udvardy v Elise Mertens

البداية: 2026-05-07 09:11 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Panna Udvardy (المضيف)

التنبؤ 22.32%4.48السعر العادل
EV +14.50%
الأفضلية +2.83%
Kelly +3.51%
النمو +0.509%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.13

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.57%22.12%22.26%24.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.654.274.275.1327.40%23.42%23.42%19.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Elise Mertens (الضيف)

التنبؤ 77.68%1.29السعر العادل
EV -2.90%
الأفضلية -2.32%
Kelly -11.59%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
75.55%77.88%77.74%81.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.151.201.201.2586.96%83.04%83.33%80.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings5.13I 19.49%NM 18.57%EV +14.50%E +2.83%K +3.51%G +0.509%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.43%EV -9.11%E -7.79%K -53.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 09:10
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +11.59%E +2.32%K +2.90%G +0.336%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -9.11%E -7.79%K -53.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 09:04
Unibet (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +4.90%E +1.04%K +1.32%G +0.065%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 09:10
Casumo4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.67%E +0.580%K +0.741%G +0.020%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 09:10
Unibet (NL)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.67%E +0.580%K +0.741%G +0.020%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 09:10
Unibet (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.67%E +0.580%K +0.741%G +0.020%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 09:10
ATG (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.67%E +0.580%K +0.741%G +0.020%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 09:10
betPARX4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.67%E +0.580%K +0.741%G +0.020%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 09:10
Svenska Spel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.67%E +0.580%K +0.741%G +0.020%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 09:10
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +2.67%E +0.580%K +0.741%G +0.020%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -8.34%E -7.06%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 09:10
Betsson4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV +1.55%E +0.341%K +0.437%G +0.007%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -8.34%E -7.06%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 09:10
NordicBet4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV +1.55%E +0.341%K +0.437%G +0.007%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -8.34%E -7.06%K -46.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 09:10
BetMGM4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +0.435%E +0.097%K +0.124%G +0.001%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.34%E -7.06%K -46.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 09:10
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +0.435%E +0.097%K +0.124%G +0.001%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.11%E -7.79%K -53.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 09:10
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +0.435%E +0.097%K +0.124%G +0.001%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.11%E -7.79%K -53.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 09:10
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +0.435%E +0.097%K +0.124%G +0.001%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.11%E -7.79%K -53.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 09:10
Pinnacle4.49I 22.27%NM 21.64%EV +0.212%E +0.047%K +0.061%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.36%EV -3.68%E -2.96%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-07 09:05
SportsBet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -0.681%E -0.153%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -6.01%E -4.96%K -28.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 09:07
Virgin Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -1.80%E -0.408%K -0.529%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -7.56%E -6.35%K -39.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 09:10
Grosvenor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -1.80%E -0.408%K -0.529%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -7.56%E -6.35%K -39.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 09:10
LiveScore Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -1.80%E -0.408%K -0.529%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -7.56%E -6.35%K -39.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 09:10
BetRivers4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -1.80%E -0.408%K -0.529%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -7.56%E -6.35%K -39.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 09:10
Bally Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -1.80%E -0.408%K -0.529%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -7.56%E -6.35%K -39.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 09:10
Caesars4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -1.80%E -0.408%K -0.529%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.34%E -7.06%K -46.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 09:10
TAB4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -1.80%E -0.408%K -0.529%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.34%E -7.06%K -46.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 09:10
LeoVegas4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -2.91%E -0.670%K -0.870%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -8.34%E -7.06%K -46.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 09:10
888sport (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.36%E -0.776%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 09:10
FanDuel4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.03%E -0.937%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.23%E -4.29%K -23.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 09:09
LeoVegas (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -4.03%E -0.937%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -9.11%E -7.79%K -53.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-07 09:10
BetUS4.28I 23.36%NM 22.32%EV -4.48%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.68%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 09:05
LowVig.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -4.70%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 09:05
BetOnline.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -4.70%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 09:05
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -5.14%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 09:04
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.14%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.23%E -4.29%K -23.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 09:05
GTbets4.21I 23.75%NM 22.04%EV -6.04%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.96%EV -7.56%E -6.35%K -39.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 08:59
NetBet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 09:00
Fanatics4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.34%E -7.06%K -46.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 09:10
PMU (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 78.50%EV -10.67%E -9.28%K -71.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-07 09:10
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -7.38%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 09:09
Betr (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -7.38%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.23%E -4.29%K -23.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 09:04
Coolbet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.68%E -2.96%K -15.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 09:09
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 09:10
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -10.50%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -2.90%E -2.32%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 09:05
ReBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.90%E -2.32%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:59
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.68%E -2.96%K -15.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 09:05
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.68%E -2.96%K -15.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 09:03
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.23%E -4.29%K -23.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 09:10
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.23%E -4.29%K -23.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 09:09
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.23%E -4.29%K -23.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 09:10
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.23%E -4.29%K -23.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.23%E -4.29%K -23.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 09:10
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.23%E -4.29%K -23.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 09:10
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 09:04
Fliff4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -7.56%E -6.35%K -39.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 09:10
TABtouch3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -11.84%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 09:10
Betclic (FR)3.93I 25.45%NM 23.39%EV -12.29%E -3.13%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.61%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-07 09:08
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -15.19%E -4.00%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 09:05
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -15.19%E -4.00%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -5.23%E -4.29%K -23.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 09:05
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -15.19%E -4.00%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -5.23%E -4.29%K -23.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 09:05
Winamax (DE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -16.30%E -4.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -6.01%E -4.96%K -28.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-07 09:10
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.43%EV -18.54%E -5.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 75.57%EV -8.34%E -7.06%K -46.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-07 09:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-05-07 09:10
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%1.5%2026-05-07 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%1.6%2026-05-07 09:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%1.6%2026-05-07 09:05
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%3.3%2026-05-07 09:10
Novig4.88I 20.49%NM 18.80%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.20%9.0%2026-05-07 09:10