StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Noemi Basiletti v Ajla Tomljanovic

Matchstart: 2026-05-06 19:20 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

55 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Noemi Basiletti (Hemma)

Prognos 29.81%3.35rättvist odds
EV +11.81%
Fördel +3.15%
Kelly +4.29%
Tillväxt +0.507%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.30%30.10%29.50%34.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.703.213.253.7537.04%31.11%30.77%26.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Ajla Tomljanovic (Borta)

Prognos 70.19%1.42rättvist odds
EV +1.07%
Fördel +0.741%
Kelly +2.42%
Tillväxt +0.026%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.44

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
65.22%69.90%70.50%74.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.241.331.331.4480.65%75.23%75.19%69.44%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Noemi Basiletti (Hemma): 29.81%; Ajla Tomljanovic (Borta): 70.19%. För Noemi Basiletti (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.35. 10 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.75, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +11.81%.

Spelbolagsodds (55 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +11.81%E +3.15%K +4.29%G +0.507%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -10.87%E -8.56%K -40.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 19:15
Pinnacle🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV +10.32%E +2.79%K +3.82%G +0.394%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -7.36%E -5.57%K -22.99%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-06 19:10
SportsBet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV +4.95%E +1.41%K +1.96%G +0.097%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 19:10
Casumo🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +4.35%E +1.24%K +1.74%G +0.076%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 19:15
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +4.35%E +1.24%K +1.74%G +0.076%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:57
TAB🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +4.35%E +1.24%K +1.74%G +0.076%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -10.16%E -7.94%K -36.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 19:15
Betr (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +2.86%E +0.829%K +1.17%G +0.033%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 19:08
Fliff🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +2.86%E +0.829%K +1.17%G +0.033%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -11.57%E -9.18%K -44.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-06 19:15
Bet Right🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +1.37%E +0.403%K +0.571%G +0.008%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 19:09
DraftKings🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.14%EV +0.476%E +0.141%K +0.201%G +0.001%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.86%EV -7.36%E -5.57%K -22.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 19:20
Coolbet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.120%E -0.036%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 19:20
ReBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.120%E -0.036%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 18:59
Bally Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -0.120%E -0.036%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -9.46%E -7.33%K -32.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 19:15
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 19:15
Unibet (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 19:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 19:20
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 19:20
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -8.06%E -6.15%K -25.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 19:20
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 19:08
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 19:08
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 19:13
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 19:10
888sport🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 19:10
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 19:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 19:10
888sport (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 19:10
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.36%E -5.57%K -22.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 19:20
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.36%E -5.57%K -22.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 19:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -8.06%E -6.15%K -25.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 19:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.59%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 19:20
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.59%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.59%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.36%E -5.57%K -22.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 19:20
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.59%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 19:20
PMU (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -4.59%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.07%EV -12.97%E -10.46%K -54.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-06 19:15
1xBet🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 19:07
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 19:20
Fanatics🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -8.06%E -6.15%K -25.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 19:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 19:20
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 19:10
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 19:19
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.06%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 19:20
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.06%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 19:20
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.56%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.74%E -1.24%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 19:20
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.56%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 19:20
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -12.05%E -4.08%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 19:19
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -13.54%E -4.67%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -13.54%E -4.67%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 19:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -15.03%E -5.27%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-06 19:14
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -16.52%E -5.90%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.74%E -1.24%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 19:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -18.01%E -6.55%K -10.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-06 19:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -18.01%E -6.55%K -10.29%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 67.57%EV -7.36%E -5.57%K -22.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-06 19:20
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -19.50%E -7.22%K -11.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV +1.07%E +0.741%K +2.42%G +0.026%6.5%2026-05-06 19:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%1.4%2026-05-06 19:20
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%2.0%2026-05-06 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60%2.8%2026-05-06 19:20
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%3.4%2026-05-06 19:20
Novig3.62I 27.62%NM 26.72%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.28%3.4%2026-05-06 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%5.3%2026-05-06 19:15