L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Noemi Basiletti v Ajla Tomljanovic
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Noemi Basiletti (Local)
Prévision 29.81%3.35cote équitable
EV +11.81%
Avantage +3.15%
Kelly +4.29%
Croissance +0.507%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.30%30.10%29.50%34.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.213.253.7537.04%31.11%30.77%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Ajla Tomljanovic (Visiteur)
Prévision 70.19%1.42cote équitable
EV +1.07%
Avantage +0.741%
Kelly +2.42%
Croissance +0.026%
avec la cote maximale 1.44
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.22%69.90%70.50%74.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.241.331.331.4480.65%75.23%75.19%69.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +11.81%E +3.15%K +4.29%G +0.507% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -10.87%E -8.56%K -40.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |
| Pinnacle | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV +10.32%E +2.79%K +3.82%G +0.394% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -7.36%E -5.57%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-06 19:10 |
| SportsBet | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV +4.95%E +1.41%K +1.96%G +0.097% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 19:10 |
| Casumo | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +4.35%E +1.24%K +1.74%G +0.076% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +4.35%E +1.24%K +1.74%G +0.076% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:57 |
| TAB | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +4.35%E +1.24%K +1.74%G +0.076% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -10.16%E -7.94%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +2.86%E +0.829%K +1.17%G +0.033% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 19:08 |
| Fliff | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +2.86%E +0.829%K +1.17%G +0.033% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -11.57%E -9.18%K -44.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |
| Bet Right | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +1.37%E +0.403%K +0.571%G +0.008% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 19:09 |
| DraftKings | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.14%EV +0.476%E +0.141%K +0.201%G +0.001% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.86%EV -7.36%E -5.57%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Coolbet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.120%E -0.036%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| ReBet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.120%E -0.036%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 18:59 |
| Bally Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -0.120%E -0.036%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -9.46%E -7.33%K -32.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |
| Betway | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| betPARX | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| theScore Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -8.06%E -6.15%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 19:08 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 19:08 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 19:13 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 19:10 |
| 888sport | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 19:10 |
| BetUS | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 19:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 19:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 19:10 |
| BetRivers | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.36%E -5.57%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| TABtouch | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.36%E -5.57%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -8.06%E -6.15%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.59%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Betsson | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.59%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.59%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.36%E -5.57%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| LeoVegas | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.59%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -4.59%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.07%EV -12.97%E -10.46%K -54.04%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |
| 1xBet | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 19:07 |
| NordicBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Fanatics | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -8.06%E -6.15%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| PlayUp | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 19:10 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 19:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.06%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Grosvenor | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.06%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| FanDuel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.56%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.74%E -1.24%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.56%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -12.05%E -4.08%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 19:19 |
| Coral | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -13.54%E -4.67%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -13.54%E -4.67%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -15.03%E -5.27%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-06 19:14 |
| Bet Victor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -16.52%E -5.90%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.74%E -1.24%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -18.01%E -6.55%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -18.01%E -6.55%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.57%EV -7.36%E -5.57%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| BoyleSports | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -19.50%E -7.22%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV +1.07%E +0.741%K +2.42%G +0.026% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 1.4% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Matchbook | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 2.0% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60% | 2.8% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Smarkets | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75% | 3.4% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Novig | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.72% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.28% | 3.4% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |