La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Noemi Basiletti v Ajla Tomljanovic
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Noemi Basiletti (Casa)
Previsione 29.81%3.35quota equa
EV +11.81%
Vantaggio +3.15%
Kelly +4.29%
Crescita +0.507%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.30%30.10%29.50%34.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.703.213.253.7537.04%31.11%30.77%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Ajla Tomljanovic (Trasferta)
Previsione 70.19%1.42quota equa
EV +1.07%
Vantaggio +0.741%
Kelly +2.42%
Crescita +0.026%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.44
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.22%69.90%70.50%74.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.241.331.331.4480.65%75.23%75.19%69.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +11.81%E +3.15%K +4.29%G +0.507% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -10.87%E -8.56%K -40.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |
| Pinnacle | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV +10.32%E +2.79%K +3.82%G +0.394% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -7.36%E -5.57%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-06 19:10 |
| SportsBet | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV +4.95%E +1.41%K +1.96%G +0.097% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 19:10 |
| Casumo | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +4.35%E +1.24%K +1.74%G +0.076% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +4.35%E +1.24%K +1.74%G +0.076% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:57 |
| TAB | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +4.35%E +1.24%K +1.74%G +0.076% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -10.16%E -7.94%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +2.86%E +0.829%K +1.17%G +0.033% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 19:08 |
| Fliff | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +2.86%E +0.829%K +1.17%G +0.033% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -11.57%E -9.18%K -44.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |
| Bet Right | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +1.37%E +0.403%K +0.571%G +0.008% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 19:09 |
| DraftKings | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.14%EV +0.476%E +0.141%K +0.201%G +0.001% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.86%EV -7.36%E -5.57%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Coolbet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.120%E -0.036%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| ReBet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.120%E -0.036%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 18:59 |
| Bally Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -0.120%E -0.036%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -9.46%E -7.33%K -32.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |
| Betway | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| betPARX | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| theScore Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -8.06%E -6.15%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 19:08 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 19:08 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 19:13 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 19:10 |
| 888sport | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 19:10 |
| BetUS | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 19:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 19:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 19:10 |
| BetRivers | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.36%E -5.57%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| TABtouch | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.36%E -5.57%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -8.06%E -6.15%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.59%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Betsson | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.59%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.59%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.36%E -5.57%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| LeoVegas | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.59%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -4.59%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.07%EV -12.97%E -10.46%K -54.04%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |
| 1xBet | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 19:07 |
| NordicBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Fanatics | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -8.06%E -6.15%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| PlayUp | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 19:10 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 19:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.06%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Grosvenor | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.06%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| FanDuel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.56%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.74%E -1.24%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.56%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -12.05%E -4.08%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 19:19 |
| Coral | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -13.54%E -4.67%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -13.54%E -4.67%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -15.03%E -5.27%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-06 19:14 |
| Bet Victor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -16.52%E -5.90%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.74%E -1.24%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -18.01%E -6.55%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -18.01%E -6.55%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.57%EV -7.36%E -5.57%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| BoyleSports | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -19.50%E -7.22%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV +1.07%E +0.741%K +2.42%G +0.026% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 1.4% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Matchbook | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 2.0% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60% | 2.8% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Smarkets | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75% | 3.4% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Novig | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.72% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.28% | 3.4% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |