Język:Polski
Noemi Basiletti v Ajla Tomljanovic
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Noemi Basiletti (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 29.81%3.35kurs godziwy
EV +11.81%
Przewaga +3.15%
Kelly +4.29%
Wzrost +0.507%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.75
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.30%30.10%29.50%34.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.703.213.253.7537.04%31.11%30.77%26.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Ajla Tomljanovic (Goście)
Prognoza 70.19%1.42kurs godziwy
EV +1.07%
Przewaga +0.741%
Kelly +2.42%
Wzrost +0.026%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.44
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
65.22%69.90%70.50%74.70%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.241.331.331.4480.65%75.23%75.19%69.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Noemi Basiletti (Gospodarze): 29.81%; Ajla Tomljanovic (Goście): 70.19%. Dla wyniku Noemi Basiletti (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.35. 10 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.75, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +11.81%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (55 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +11.81%E +3.15%K +4.29%G +0.507% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -10.87%E -8.56%K -40.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV +10.32%E +2.79%K +3.82%G +0.394% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -7.36%E -5.57%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-06 19:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV +4.95%E +1.41%K +1.96%G +0.097% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 19:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +4.35%E +1.24%K +1.74%G +0.076% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +4.35%E +1.24%K +1.74%G +0.076% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:57 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +4.35%E +1.24%K +1.74%G +0.076% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -10.16%E -7.94%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +2.86%E +0.829%K +1.17%G +0.033% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 19:08 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +2.86%E +0.829%K +1.17%G +0.033% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -11.57%E -9.18%K -44.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +1.37%E +0.403%K +0.571%G +0.008% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 19:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.14%EV +0.476%E +0.141%K +0.201%G +0.001% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.86%EV -7.36%E -5.57%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.120%E -0.036%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.120%E -0.036%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 18:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -0.120%E -0.036%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -9.46%E -7.33%K -32.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -8.06%E -6.15%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 19:08 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -1.61%E -0.488%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 19:08 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 19:13 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 19:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 19:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 19:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 19:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 19:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.36%E -5.57%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.36%E -5.57%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -3.10%E -0.954%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -8.06%E -6.15%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.59%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.59%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.59%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.36%E -5.57%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.59%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -4.59%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.07%EV -12.97%E -10.46%K -54.04%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 19:07 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -8.06%E -6.15%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 19:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 19:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.06%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.06%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.56%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.74%E -1.24%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.56%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -12.05%E -4.08%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 19:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -13.54%E -4.67%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -13.54%E -4.67%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -15.03%E -5.27%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-06 19:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -16.52%E -5.90%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.74%E -1.24%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -18.01%E -6.55%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -18.01%E -6.55%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.57%EV -7.36%E -5.57%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -19.50%E -7.22%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV +1.07%E +0.741%K +2.42%G +0.026% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 1.4% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 2.0% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60% | 2.8% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75% | 3.4% | 2026-05-06 19:20 |
| Novig◎ | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.72% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.28% | 3.4% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |