Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Martina Trevisan v Talia Gibson

Kickoff: 2026-05-05 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Martina Trevisan (Local)

Prediction 34.14%2.93fair odd
EV +2.76%
Edge +0.916%
Kelly +1.37%
Growth +0.038%

assuming max odds 3.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.59%34.29%34.13%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.752.753.0143.48%36.41%36.36%33.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Talia Gibson (Visit)

Prediction 65.86%1.52fair odd
EV +6.70%
Edge +4.13%
Kelly +10.80%
Growth +0.723%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%65.71%65.87%68.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.451.451.6271.94%68.99%68.97%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Martina Trevisan (Local): 34.14%; Talia Gibson (Visit): 65.86%. For Talia Gibson (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.52. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.70%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -21.48%E -9.34%K -16.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +6.70%E +4.13%K +10.80%G +0.723%5.2%2026-05-05 15:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.52%E -1.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 15:24
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 15:25
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -0.999%E -0.345%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.84%E -2.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-05 15:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.71%E -0.950%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.84%E -2.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-05 15:25
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.84%E -2.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 15:54
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.84%E -2.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 15:55
ReBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.84%E -2.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 15:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.84%E -2.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 15:54
SportsBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.10%E -1.83%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 15:54
FanDuel🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -5.78%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 15:55
GTbets🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%EV -7.49%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 15:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 15:25
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 15:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -10.22%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 15:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -10.22%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 15:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -1.68%E -0.584%K -0.895%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 15:50
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.41%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 15:55
1xBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.04%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.96%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 15:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.10%E -1.83%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 15:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.10%E -1.83%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 15:55
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 15:25
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 15:55
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 15:54
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 15:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 15:55
Pinnacle🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 32.21%EV +2.76%E +0.916%K +1.37%G +0.038%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.79%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-05 15:55
Fanatics🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.41%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 15:53
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.41%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 15:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-05 15:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +0.025%E +0.008%K +0.013%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -6.48%E -4.56%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 15:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +0.025%E +0.008%K +0.013%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -6.48%E -4.56%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 15:55
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.41%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.48%E -4.56%K -15.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 15:55
theScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.48%E -4.56%K -15.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 15:54
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.41%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.79%E -5.57%K -19.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 15:54
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.79%E -5.57%K -19.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 15:24
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.79%E -5.57%K -19.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 15:53
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.79%E -5.57%K -19.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 15:54
DraftKings🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 31.59%EV +2.76%E +0.916%K +1.37%G +0.038%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.41%EV -8.45%E -6.08%K -21.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 15:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-05-05 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-05-05 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-05-05 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-05-05 15:55
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%2.7%2026-05-05 15:55
Novig2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%4.0%2026-05-05 15:55