L’École des cotes

Martina Trevisan v Talia Gibson

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-05 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Martina Trevisan (Local)

Prévision 34.14%2.93cote équitable
EV +2.76%
Avantage +0.916%
Kelly +1.37%
Croissance +0.038%

avec la cote maximale 3.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.59%34.29%34.13%41.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.752.753.0143.48%36.41%36.36%33.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Talia Gibson (Visiteur)

Prévision 65.86%1.52cote équitable
EV +6.70%
Avantage +4.13%
Kelly +10.80%
Croissance +0.723%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.67%65.71%65.87%68.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.391.451.451.6271.94%68.99%68.97%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -21.48%E -9.34%K -16.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +6.70%E +4.13%K +10.80%G +0.723%5.2%2026-05-05 15:25
Hard Rock Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.52%E -1.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 15:24
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 15:25
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -0.999%E -0.345%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.84%E -2.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-05 15:55
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.71%E -0.950%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.84%E -2.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-05 15:25
NordicBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.84%E -2.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 15:54
Betsson2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.84%E -2.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 15:55
ReBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.84%E -2.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 15:55
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.84%E -2.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 15:54
SportsBet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.10%E -1.83%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 15:54
FanDuel2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -5.78%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 15:55
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 15:55
GTbets2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%EV -7.49%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 15:54
PMU (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 15:25
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 15:25
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -10.22%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 15:25
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -10.22%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 15:25
Betclic (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -1.68%E -0.584%K -0.895%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 15:50
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.41%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 15:55
1xBet2.79I 35.84%NM 34.04%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.96%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 15:55
PointsBet (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.10%E -1.83%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 15:55
Marathon Bet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.10%E -1.83%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 15:55
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 15:25
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 15:55
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 15:54
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 15:25
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 15:54
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 15:55
Pinnacle3.01I 33.22%NM 32.21%EV +2.76%E +0.916%K +1.37%G +0.038%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.79%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-05 15:55
Fanatics2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.41%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 15:53
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.41%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 15:54
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-05 15:54
LowVig.ag2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +0.025%E +0.008%K +0.013%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -6.48%E -4.56%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 15:54
BetOnline.ag2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +0.025%E +0.008%K +0.013%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -6.48%E -4.56%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 15:55
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.41%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.48%E -4.56%K -15.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 15:55
theScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.48%E -4.56%K -15.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 15:54
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.41%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.79%E -5.57%K -19.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 15:54
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.79%E -5.57%K -19.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 15:24
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.79%E -5.57%K -19.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 15:53
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.79%E -5.57%K -19.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 15:54
DraftKings3.01I 33.22%NM 31.59%EV +2.76%E +0.916%K +1.37%G +0.038%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.41%EV -8.45%E -6.08%K -21.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 15:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-05-05 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-05-05 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-05-05 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-05-05 15:55
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%2.7%2026-05-05 15:55
Novig2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%4.0%2026-05-05 15:55