La escuela de los momios

Martina Trevisan v Talia Gibson

Inicio: 2026-05-05 16:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Martina Trevisan (Local)

Predicción 34.14%2.93momio equitativo
EV +2.76%
Ventaja +0.916%
Kelly +1.37%
Crecimiento +0.038%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.01

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.59%34.29%34.13%41.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.752.753.0143.48%36.41%36.36%33.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Talia Gibson (Visitante)

Predicción 65.86%1.52momio equitativo
EV +6.70%
Ventaja +4.13%
Kelly +10.80%
Crecimiento +0.723%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.67%65.71%65.87%68.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.391.451.451.6271.94%68.99%68.97%61.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -21.48%E -9.34%K -16.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +6.70%E +4.13%K +10.80%G +0.723%5.2%2026-05-05 15:25
Hard Rock Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.52%E -1.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 15:24
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 15:25
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -0.999%E -0.345%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.84%E -2.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-05 15:55
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.71%E -0.950%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.84%E -2.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-05 15:25
NordicBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.84%E -2.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 15:54
Betsson2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.84%E -2.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 15:55
ReBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.84%E -2.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 15:55
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.84%E -2.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 15:54
SportsBet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.10%E -1.83%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 15:54
FanDuel2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -5.78%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 15:55
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 15:55
GTbets2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%EV -7.49%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 15:54
PMU (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 15:25
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 15:25
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -10.22%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 15:25
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -10.22%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 15:25
Betclic (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -1.68%E -0.584%K -0.895%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 15:50
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.41%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 15:55
1xBet2.79I 35.84%NM 34.04%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.96%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 15:55
PointsBet (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.10%E -1.83%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 15:55
Marathon Bet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.10%E -1.83%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 15:55
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 15:25
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 15:55
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 15:54
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 15:25
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 15:54
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 15:55
Pinnacle3.01I 33.22%NM 32.21%EV +2.76%E +0.916%K +1.37%G +0.038%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.79%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-05 15:55
Fanatics2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.41%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 15:53
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.41%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 15:54
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-05 15:54
LowVig.ag2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +0.025%E +0.008%K +0.013%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -6.48%E -4.56%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 15:54
BetOnline.ag2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +0.025%E +0.008%K +0.013%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -6.48%E -4.56%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 15:55
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.41%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.48%E -4.56%K -15.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 15:55
theScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.48%E -4.56%K -15.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 15:54
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.41%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.79%E -5.57%K -19.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 15:54
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.79%E -5.57%K -19.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 15:24
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.79%E -5.57%K -19.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 15:53
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.79%E -5.57%K -19.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 15:54
DraftKings3.01I 33.22%NM 31.59%EV +2.76%E +0.916%K +1.37%G +0.038%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.41%EV -8.45%E -6.08%K -21.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 15:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-05-05 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-05-05 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-05-05 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-05-05 15:55
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%2.7%2026-05-05 15:55
Novig2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%4.0%2026-05-05 15:55