Language:English
Magda Linette v Tatjana Maria
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Magda Linette (Local)
Prediction 73.67%1.36fair odd
EV -0.544%
Edge -0.403%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.59%73.53%73.88%75.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.291.301.3580.00%77.35%76.92%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tatjana Maria (Visit)
Prediction 26.33%3.80fair odd
EV +2.68%
Edge +0.688%
Kelly +0.925%
Growth +0.025%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.42%26.47%26.12%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.563.553.9030.77%28.09%28.17%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Magda Linette (Local): 73.67%; Tatjana Maria (Visit): 26.33%. For Tatjana Maria (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.80. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.68%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.17%E -5.69%K -27.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +2.68%E +0.688%K +0.925%G +0.025% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV +0.050%E +0.013%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-06 08:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV +0.050%E +0.013%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV +0.050%E +0.013%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -7.17%E -5.69%K -27.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +0.050%E +0.013%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.27%E -0.338%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 07:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.58%E -0.698%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.58%E -0.698%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -7.17%E -5.69%K -27.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -2.58%E -0.698%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 08:53 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -3.37%E -0.919%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 08:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -3.37%E -0.919%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 08:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.90%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 08:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.90%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.90%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.90%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -3.90%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 08:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -3.90%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 08:43 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.49%E -2.66%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 07:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 08:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 22:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%EV -0.544%E -0.403%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%EV -6.01%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-06 07:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 07:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 07:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 07:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 07:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 07:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 07:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 07:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 07:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 07:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 07:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 07:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 07:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 07:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -3.49%E -2.66%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -7.06%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -3.49%E -2.66%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -7.06%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 07:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 06:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 08:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-05 11:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 07:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.02%E -1.52%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 22:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.49%E -2.66%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-05 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-05 09:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 07:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 07:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 07:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.11%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 09:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.11%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 09:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -13.11%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-05 09:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -13.11%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-06 04:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.43%E -4.44%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-06 08:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 08:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 08:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 08:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24% | 3.1% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |