La escuela de los momios

Magda Linette v Tatjana Maria

Inicio: 2026-05-06 09:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Magda Linette (Local)

Predicción 73.67%1.36momio equitativo
EV -0.544%
Ventaja -0.403%
Kelly -1.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.59%73.53%73.88%75.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.291.301.3580.00%77.35%76.92%74.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tatjana Maria (Visitante)

Predicción 26.33%3.80momio equitativo
EV +2.68%
Ventaja +0.688%
Kelly +0.925%
Crecimiento +0.025%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.42%26.47%26.12%28.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.563.553.9030.77%28.09%28.17%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
SportsBet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.17%E -5.69%K -27.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +2.68%E +0.688%K +0.925%G +0.025%5.0%2026-05-06 08:50
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV +0.050%E +0.013%K +0.018%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-06 08:20
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV +0.050%E +0.013%K +0.018%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-06 08:50
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV +0.050%E +0.013%K +0.018%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-06 08:50
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -7.17%E -5.69%K -27.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +0.050%E +0.013%K +0.018%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 08:50
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.27%E -0.338%K -0.460%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 07:54
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.58%E -0.698%K -0.957%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 08:50
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.58%E -0.698%K -0.957%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 08:55
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -7.17%E -5.69%K -27.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -2.58%E -0.698%K -0.957%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 08:53
LowVig.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -3.37%E -0.919%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 08:10
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -3.37%E -0.919%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 08:10
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.90%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 08:45
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.90%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 08:50
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.90%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 08:50
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.90%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 08:55
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -3.90%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 08:45
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -3.90%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 08:50
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 08:43
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.49%E -2.66%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 07:15
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 08:50
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 08:55
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 08:50
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 08:50
Betr (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 08:45
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 22:30
GTbets1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%EV -0.544%E -0.403%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%EV -6.01%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-06 07:14
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 07:15
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 07:15
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 07:15
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 07:14
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 07:15
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 07:15
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 07:15
Bally Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 07:15
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 07:14
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 07:15
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 07:14
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 07:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 07:15
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -3.49%E -2.66%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -7.06%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 08:55
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -3.49%E -2.66%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -7.06%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 08:50
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 07:15
Unibet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 06:20
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 08:39
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 11:30
theScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 08:50
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 07:15
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.02%E -1.52%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 22:20
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.49%E -2.66%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 09:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-05 09:20
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 07:30
Virgin Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 07:15
LiveScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 07:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.11%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 09:20
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.11%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 09:20
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -13.11%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-05 09:20
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -13.11%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-06 04:14
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.43%E -4.44%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 08:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-05-06 08:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-05-06 08:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-05-06 08:15
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-05-06 08:55
Smarkets1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%3.1%2026-05-06 08:50
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%5.2%2026-05-06 08:50