Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Magda Linette v Tatjana Maria

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-06 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Magda Linette (Local)

Prévision 73.67%1.36cote équitable
EV -0.544%
Avantage -0.403%
Kelly -1.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.59%73.53%73.88%75.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.251.291.301.3580.00%77.35%76.92%74.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Tatjana Maria (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.33%3.80cote équitable
EV +2.68%
Avantage +0.688%
Kelly +0.925%
Croissance +0.025%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.42%26.47%26.12%28.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.563.553.9030.77%28.09%28.17%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Magda Linette (Local) : 73.67% ; Tatjana Maria (Visiteur) : 26.33%. Pour Tatjana Maria (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.80. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.90, soit une espérance positive de +2.68%.

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
SportsBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.17%E -5.69%K -27.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +2.68%E +0.688%K +0.925%G +0.025%5.0%2026-05-06 08:50
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV +0.050%E +0.013%K +0.018%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-06 08:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV +0.050%E +0.013%K +0.018%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-06 08:50
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV +0.050%E +0.013%K +0.018%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-06 08:50
FanDuel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -7.17%E -5.69%K -27.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +0.050%E +0.013%K +0.018%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 08:50
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.27%E -0.338%K -0.460%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 07:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.58%E -0.698%K -0.957%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 08:50
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.58%E -0.698%K -0.957%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 08:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -7.17%E -5.69%K -27.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -2.58%E -0.698%K -0.957%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 08:53
LowVig.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -3.37%E -0.919%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 08:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -3.37%E -0.919%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 08:10
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.90%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 08:45
NordicBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.90%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 08:50
Betsson🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.90%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 08:50
ReBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.90%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 08:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -3.90%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 08:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -3.90%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 08:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 08:43
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.49%E -2.66%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 07:15
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 08:50
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 08:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 08:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 08:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 08:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 22:30
GTbets🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%EV -0.544%E -0.403%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%EV -6.01%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-06 07:14
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 07:15
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 07:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 07:15
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 07:14
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 07:15
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 07:15
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 07:15
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 07:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 07:14
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 07:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 07:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 07:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 07:15
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -3.49%E -2.66%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -7.06%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 08:55
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -3.49%E -2.66%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -7.06%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 08:50
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 07:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 06:20
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 08:39
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 11:30
theScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 08:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 07:15
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.02%E -1.52%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 22:20
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.49%E -2.66%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 09:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-05 09:20
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 07:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 07:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 07:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.11%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 09:20
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.11%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 09:20
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -13.11%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-05 09:20
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -13.11%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-06 04:14
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.43%E -4.44%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 08:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-05-06 08:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-05-06 08:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-05-06 08:15
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-05-06 08:55
Smarkets1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%3.1%2026-05-06 08:50
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%5.2%2026-05-06 08:50