Language:English
Laura Siegemund v Sara Bejlek
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Laura Siegemund (Local)
Prediction 46.95%2.13fair odd
EV +3.30%
Edge +1.50%
Kelly +2.75%
Growth +0.091%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.26%47.36%47.09%53.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.992.002.2058.48%50.24%50.00%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sara Bejlek (Visit)
Prediction 53.05%1.89fair odd
EV +7.69%
Edge +3.79%
Kelly +7.46%
Growth +0.573%
assuming max odds 2.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.09%52.64%52.91%57.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.771.762.0362.11%56.41%56.82%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Laura Siegemund (Local): 46.95%; Sara Bejlek (Visit): 53.05%. For Sara Bejlek (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.03, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.69%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -14.08%E -7.69%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV +7.69%E +3.79%K +7.46%G +0.573% | 3.9% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -19.71%E -11.53%K -27.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV +6.09%E +3.05%K +6.09%G +0.371% | 8.5% | 2026-05-06 12:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -15.48%E -8.60%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +3.44%E +1.76%K +3.62%G +0.125% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 12:51 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -9.85%E -5.13%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -0.272%E -0.145%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -9.85%E -5.13%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -0.272%E -0.145%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -10.32%E -5.40%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -0.802%E -0.429%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -12.20%E -6.52%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -0.802%E -0.429%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -11.26%E -5.96%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -1.86%E -1.01%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 12:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.44%E -4.33%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.44%E -4.33%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.58%E -3.13%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 12:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.58%E -3.13%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.58%E -3.13%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.58%E -3.13%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.58%E -3.13%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.11%E -3.45%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -5.15%E -2.55%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.64%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.64%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.64%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.64%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.64%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.97%E -4.07%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.64%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -9.85%E -5.13%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -6.64%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-06 12:53 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.17%E -4.10%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 12:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.17%E -4.10%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 12:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.17%E -4.10%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -7.50%E -3.81%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -7.70%E -4.42%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.40%E -0.666%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.23%E -4.76%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -8.23%E -4.76%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.23%E -4.76%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.23%E -4.76%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.23%E -4.76%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -7.97%E -4.07%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -8.23%E -4.76%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +0.949%E +0.441%K +0.825%G +0.008% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -9.29%E -5.43%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 12:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -2.34%E -1.12%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -9.82%E -5.78%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.22%EV -10.79%E -5.68%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -9.82%E -5.78%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.54%EV -9.38%E -4.86%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.46%EV -10.88%E -6.48%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -11.41%E -6.83%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV +3.30%E +1.50%K +2.75%G +0.091% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -11.94%E -7.19%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 12:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +3.30%E +1.50%K +2.75%G +0.091% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -14.59%E -9.06%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +3.30%E +1.50%K +2.75%G +0.091% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -14.59%E -9.06%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39% | 0.1% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 1.3% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.15% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |