L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Laura Siegemund v Sara Bejlek
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Laura Siegemund (Local)
Prévision 46.95%2.13cote équitable
EV +3.30%
Avantage +1.50%
Kelly +2.75%
Croissance +0.091%
avec la cote maximale 2.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.26%47.36%47.09%53.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.711.992.002.2058.48%50.24%50.00%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Sara Bejlek (Visiteur)
Prévision 53.05%1.89cote équitable
EV +7.69%
Avantage +3.79%
Kelly +7.46%
Croissance +0.573%
avec la cote maximale 2.03
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.09%52.64%52.91%57.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.611.771.762.0362.11%56.41%56.82%49.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -14.08%E -7.69%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV +7.69%E +3.79%K +7.46%G +0.573% | 3.9% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -19.71%E -11.53%K -27.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV +6.09%E +3.05%K +6.09%G +0.371% | 8.5% | 2026-05-06 12:50 |
| Caesars | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -15.48%E -8.60%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +3.44%E +1.76%K +3.62%G +0.125% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 12:51 |
| Casumo | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -9.85%E -5.13%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -0.272%E -0.145%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| betPARX | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -9.85%E -5.13%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -0.272%E -0.145%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -10.32%E -5.40%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -0.802%E -0.429%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -12.20%E -6.52%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -0.802%E -0.429%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -11.26%E -5.96%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -1.86%E -1.01%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 12:54 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.44%E -4.33%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.44%E -4.33%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.58%E -3.13%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 12:54 |
| Unibet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.58%E -3.13%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.58%E -3.13%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.58%E -3.13%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.58%E -3.13%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.11%E -3.45%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -5.15%E -2.55%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.64%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.64%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.64%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.64%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Bally Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.64%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.97%E -4.07%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.64%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -9.85%E -5.13%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -6.64%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-06 12:53 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.17%E -4.10%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 12:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.17%E -4.10%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 12:54 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.17%E -4.10%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -7.50%E -3.81%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -7.70%E -4.42%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.40%E -0.666%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.23%E -4.76%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -8.23%E -4.76%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.23%E -4.76%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.23%E -4.76%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.23%E -4.76%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -7.97%E -4.07%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -8.23%E -4.76%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +0.949%E +0.441%K +0.825%G +0.008% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -9.29%E -5.43%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 12:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -2.34%E -1.12%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -9.82%E -5.78%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.22%EV -10.79%E -5.68%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -9.82%E -5.78%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.54%EV -9.38%E -4.86%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.46%EV -10.88%E -6.48%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -11.41%E -6.83%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV +3.30%E +1.50%K +2.75%G +0.091% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -11.94%E -7.19%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 12:54 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +3.30%E +1.50%K +2.75%G +0.091% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -14.59%E -9.06%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +3.30%E +1.50%K +2.75%G +0.091% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -14.59%E -9.06%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39% | 0.1% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 1.3% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Novig | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.15% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |