La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Laura Siegemund v Sara Bejlek
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Laura Siegemund (Local)
Predicción 46.95%2.13momio equitativo
EV +3.30%
Ventaja +1.50%
Kelly +2.75%
Crecimiento +0.091%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.26%47.36%47.09%53.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.711.992.002.2058.48%50.24%50.00%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sara Bejlek (Visitante)
Predicción 53.05%1.89momio equitativo
EV +7.69%
Ventaja +3.79%
Kelly +7.46%
Crecimiento +0.573%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.03
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.09%52.64%52.91%57.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.611.771.762.0362.11%56.41%56.82%49.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -14.08%E -7.69%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV +7.69%E +3.79%K +7.46%G +0.573% | 3.9% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -19.71%E -11.53%K -27.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV +6.09%E +3.05%K +6.09%G +0.371% | 8.5% | 2026-05-06 12:50 |
| Caesars | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -15.48%E -8.60%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +3.44%E +1.76%K +3.62%G +0.125% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 12:51 |
| Casumo | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -9.85%E -5.13%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -0.272%E -0.145%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| betPARX | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -9.85%E -5.13%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -0.272%E -0.145%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -10.32%E -5.40%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -0.802%E -0.429%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -12.20%E -6.52%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -0.802%E -0.429%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -11.26%E -5.96%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -1.86%E -1.01%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 12:54 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.44%E -4.33%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.44%E -4.33%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.58%E -3.13%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 12:54 |
| Unibet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.58%E -3.13%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.58%E -3.13%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.58%E -3.13%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.58%E -3.13%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.11%E -3.45%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -5.15%E -2.55%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.64%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.64%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.64%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.64%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Bally Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.64%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.97%E -4.07%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.64%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -9.85%E -5.13%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -6.64%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-06 12:53 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.17%E -4.10%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 12:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.17%E -4.10%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 12:54 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.17%E -4.10%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -7.50%E -3.81%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -7.70%E -4.42%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.40%E -0.666%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.23%E -4.76%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -8.23%E -4.76%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.23%E -4.76%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.23%E -4.76%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.23%E -4.76%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -7.97%E -4.07%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -8.23%E -4.76%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +0.949%E +0.441%K +0.825%G +0.008% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -9.29%E -5.43%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 12:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -2.34%E -1.12%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -9.82%E -5.78%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.22%EV -10.79%E -5.68%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -9.82%E -5.78%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.54%EV -9.38%E -4.86%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.46%EV -10.88%E -6.48%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -11.41%E -6.83%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV +3.30%E +1.50%K +2.75%G +0.091% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -11.94%E -7.19%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 12:54 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +3.30%E +1.50%K +2.75%G +0.091% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -14.59%E -9.06%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +3.30%E +1.50%K +2.75%G +0.091% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -14.59%E -9.06%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39% | 0.1% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 1.3% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| Novig | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.15% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |