Language:English
Katerina Siniakova v Anna Kalinskaya
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Katerina Siniakova (Local)
Prediction 83.56%1.20fair odd
EV +1.11%
Edge +0.916%
Kelly +5.28%
Growth +0.059%
assuming max odds 1.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.42%83.43%83.09%86.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.141.141.2192.59%87.79%87.72%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Anna Kalinskaya (Visit)
Prediction 16.44%6.08fair odd
EV +13.10%
Edge +1.90%
Kelly +2.23%
Growth +0.292%
assuming max odds 6.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.00%16.57%16.91%19.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.415.106.8821.74%18.49%19.61%14.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Katerina Siniakova (Local): 83.56%; Anna Kalinskaya (Visit): 16.44%. For Anna Kalinskaya (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.08. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.10%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.00%EV -6.41%E -5.72%K -53.43%G +0.000% | 6.88I 14.53%NM 14.00%EV +13.10%E +1.90%K +2.23%G +0.292% | 3.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -7.25%E -6.53%K -65.88%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +10.14%E +1.51%K +1.78%G +0.180% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.41%E -5.72%K -53.43%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +6.85%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.085% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.25%E -6.53%K -65.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +6.85%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.085% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -8.08%E -7.35%K -80.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +6.85%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.085% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -8.08%E -7.35%K -80.83%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV +2.74%E +0.439%K +0.523%G +0.014% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -8.92%E -8.18%K -99.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV +2.74%E +0.439%K +0.523%G +0.014% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.41%E -5.72%K -53.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -9.75%E -9.03%K -121.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -8.08%E -7.35%K -80.83%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -4.65%E -0.802%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.70%EV -8.08%E -7.35%K -80.83%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.30%EV -7.12%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.74%E -4.16%K -33.86%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.94%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.58%EV -8.08%E -7.35%K -80.83%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -7.94%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.90%E -3.40%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.58%E -4.93%K -42.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.58%E -4.93%K -42.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.41%E -5.72%K -53.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.41%E -5.72%K -53.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.41%E -5.72%K -53.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.74%E -4.16%K -33.86%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -11.23%E -2.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.74%E -4.16%K -33.86%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -11.23%E -2.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -2.23%E -1.91%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -16.16%E -3.17%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -2.23%E -1.91%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -16.16%E -3.17%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -2.23%E -1.91%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -16.16%E -3.17%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -2.23%E -1.91%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -16.16%E -3.17%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -2.23%E -1.91%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -16.16%E -3.17%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -2.23%E -1.91%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -16.16%E -3.17%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -2.23%E -1.91%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -16.16%E -3.17%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.67%EV +1.11%E +0.916%K +5.28%G +0.059% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.33%EV -16.98%E -3.36%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-07 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.23%E -1.91%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -17.80%E -3.56%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.74%E -4.16%K -33.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -17.80%E -3.56%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -2.23%E -1.91%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -19.45%E -3.97%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.07%E -2.65%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -19.45%E -3.97%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.07%E -2.65%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -19.45%E -3.97%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.07%E -2.65%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -19.45%E -3.97%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.07%E -2.65%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -19.45%E -3.97%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.07%E -2.65%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -19.45%E -3.97%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -3.90%E -3.40%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -21.09%E -4.39%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -3.90%E -3.40%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -21.91%E -4.61%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -3.90%E -3.40%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -21.91%E -4.61%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -3.90%E -3.40%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -21.91%E -4.61%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -4.74%E -4.16%K -33.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -21.91%E -4.61%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.42%EV -6.41%E -5.72%K -53.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -24.38%E -5.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10% | 0.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.33% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.67% | 1.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.96% | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.04% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |