A Escola das Odds

Katerina Siniakova v Anna Kalinskaya

Início: 2026-05-07 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Katerina Siniakova (Local)

Previsão 83.56%1.20odd justa
EV +1.11%
Vantagem +0.916%
Kelly +5.28%
Crescimento +0.059%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
80.42%83.43%83.09%86.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.081.141.141.2192.59%87.79%87.72%82.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante)

Previsão 16.44%6.08odd justa
EV +13.10%
Vantagem +1.90%
Kelly +2.23%
Crescimento +0.292%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.00%16.57%16.91%19.58%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.605.415.106.8821.74%18.49%19.61%14.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 86.00%EV -6.41%E -5.72%K -53.43%G +0.000%6.88I 14.53%NM 14.00%EV +13.10%E +1.90%K +2.23%G +0.292%3.8%2026-05-07 14:55
Coolbet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -7.25%E -6.53%K -65.88%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +10.14%E +1.51%K +1.78%G +0.180%5.0%2026-05-07 14:55
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.41%E -5.72%K -53.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +6.85%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.085%4.7%2026-05-07 14:55
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.25%E -6.53%K -65.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +6.85%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.085%5.5%2026-05-07 14:55
theScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -8.08%E -7.35%K -80.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +6.85%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.085%6.3%2026-05-07 14:55
PointsBet (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -8.08%E -7.35%K -80.83%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV +2.74%E +0.439%K +0.523%G +0.014%6.9%2026-05-07 14:55
Winamax (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -8.92%E -8.18%K -99.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV +2.74%E +0.439%K +0.523%G +0.014%7.7%2026-05-07 14:55
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.41%E -5.72%K -53.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 14:55
Winamax (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -9.75%E -9.03%K -121.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-07 14:55
Fanatics1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -8.08%E -7.35%K -80.83%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -4.65%E -0.802%K -0.969%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 14:55
Fliff1.10I 90.91%NM 83.70%EV -8.08%E -7.35%K -80.83%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.30%EV -7.12%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 14:55
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.74%E -4.16%K -33.86%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.94%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 14:55
Betclic (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 83.58%EV -8.08%E -7.35%K -80.83%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -7.94%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-07 14:55
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.90%E -3.40%K -26.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.58%E -4.93%K -42.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 14:55
BetMGM1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.58%E -4.93%K -42.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 14:55
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.41%E -5.72%K -53.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 14:54
Tipico (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.41%E -5.72%K -53.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 14:55
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.41%E -5.72%K -53.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 14:55
Betsson1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.74%E -4.16%K -33.86%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -11.23%E -2.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 14:55
NordicBet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.74%E -4.16%K -33.86%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -11.23%E -2.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 14:55
Unibet (NL)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -2.23%E -1.91%K -13.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -16.16%E -3.17%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 14:55
Unibet (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -2.23%E -1.91%K -13.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -16.16%E -3.17%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 14:55
Casumo1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -2.23%E -1.91%K -13.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -16.16%E -3.17%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 14:55
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -2.23%E -1.91%K -13.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -16.16%E -3.17%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 14:55
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -2.23%E -1.91%K -13.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -16.16%E -3.17%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 14:55
Svenska Spel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -2.23%E -1.91%K -13.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -16.16%E -3.17%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 14:55
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -2.23%E -1.91%K -13.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -16.16%E -3.17%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 14:55
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 80.67%EV +1.11%E +0.916%K +5.28%G +0.059%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.33%EV -16.98%E -3.36%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-07 14:50
Hard Rock Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.23%E -1.91%K -13.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -17.80%E -3.56%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 14:55
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.74%E -4.16%K -33.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -17.80%E -3.56%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 14:55
TABtouch1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -2.23%E -1.91%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -19.45%E -3.97%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 14:55
Grosvenor1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.07%E -2.65%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -19.45%E -3.97%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 14:55
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.07%E -2.65%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -19.45%E -3.97%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 14:55
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.07%E -2.65%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -19.45%E -3.97%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 14:55
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.07%E -2.65%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -19.45%E -3.97%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 14:55
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.07%E -2.65%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -19.45%E -3.97%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 14:55
LeoVegas1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -3.90%E -3.40%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -21.09%E -4.39%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 14:55
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -3.90%E -3.40%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -21.91%E -4.61%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 14:55
888sport (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -3.90%E -3.40%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -21.91%E -4.61%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 14:55
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -3.90%E -3.40%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -21.91%E -4.61%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -4.74%E -4.16%K -33.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -21.91%E -4.61%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-07 14:55
PMU (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 80.42%EV -6.41%E -5.72%K -53.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -24.38%E -5.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-07 14:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10%0.2%2026-05-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-05-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-05-07 14:55
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-05-07 14:55
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 83.33%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.67%1.7%2026-05-07 14:55
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 81.96%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.04%7.0%2026-05-07 14:55