La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Katerina Siniakova v Anna Kalinskaya
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Katerina Siniakova (Local)
Predicción 83.56%1.20momio equitativo
EV +1.11%
Ventaja +0.916%
Kelly +5.28%
Crecimiento +0.059%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
80.42%83.43%83.09%86.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.081.141.141.2192.59%87.79%87.72%82.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante)
Predicción 16.44%6.08momio equitativo
EV +13.10%
Ventaja +1.90%
Kelly +2.23%
Crecimiento +0.292%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.00%16.57%16.91%19.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.605.415.106.8821.74%18.49%19.61%14.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.00%EV -6.41%E -5.72%K -53.43%G +0.000% | 6.88I 14.53%NM 14.00%EV +13.10%E +1.90%K +2.23%G +0.292% | 3.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -7.25%E -6.53%K -65.88%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +10.14%E +1.51%K +1.78%G +0.180% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.41%E -5.72%K -53.43%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +6.85%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.085% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Coral | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.25%E -6.53%K -65.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +6.85%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.085% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -8.08%E -7.35%K -80.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +6.85%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.085% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -8.08%E -7.35%K -80.83%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV +2.74%E +0.439%K +0.523%G +0.014% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -8.92%E -8.18%K -99.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV +2.74%E +0.439%K +0.523%G +0.014% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.41%E -5.72%K -53.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -9.75%E -9.03%K -121.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -8.08%E -7.35%K -80.83%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -4.65%E -0.802%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Fliff | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.70%EV -8.08%E -7.35%K -80.83%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.30%EV -7.12%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.74%E -4.16%K -33.86%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.94%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.58%EV -8.08%E -7.35%K -80.83%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -7.94%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betway | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.90%E -3.40%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.58%E -4.93%K -42.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.58%E -4.93%K -42.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.41%E -5.72%K -53.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.41%E -5.72%K -53.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.41%E -5.72%K -53.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betsson | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.74%E -4.16%K -33.86%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -11.23%E -2.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.74%E -4.16%K -33.86%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -11.23%E -2.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -2.23%E -1.91%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -16.16%E -3.17%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -2.23%E -1.91%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -16.16%E -3.17%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Casumo | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -2.23%E -1.91%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -16.16%E -3.17%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -2.23%E -1.91%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -16.16%E -3.17%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -2.23%E -1.91%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -16.16%E -3.17%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -2.23%E -1.91%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -16.16%E -3.17%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| betPARX | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -2.23%E -1.91%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -16.16%E -3.17%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.67%EV +1.11%E +0.916%K +5.28%G +0.059% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.33%EV -16.98%E -3.36%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-07 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.23%E -1.91%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -17.80%E -3.56%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Caesars | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.74%E -4.16%K -33.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -17.80%E -3.56%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -2.23%E -1.91%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -19.45%E -3.97%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.07%E -2.65%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -19.45%E -3.97%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.07%E -2.65%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -19.45%E -3.97%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.07%E -2.65%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -19.45%E -3.97%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.07%E -2.65%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -19.45%E -3.97%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.07%E -2.65%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -19.45%E -3.97%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -3.90%E -3.40%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -21.09%E -4.39%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| 888sport | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -3.90%E -3.40%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -21.91%E -4.61%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -3.90%E -3.40%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -21.91%E -4.61%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -3.90%E -3.40%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -21.91%E -4.61%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -4.74%E -4.16%K -33.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -21.91%E -4.61%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.42%EV -6.41%E -5.72%K -53.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -24.38%E -5.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10% | 0.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.33% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.67% | 1.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Novig | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.96% | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.04% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |