The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Karolina Pliskova v Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

Kickoff: 2026-05-06 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Karolina Pliskova (Local)

Prediction 43.19%2.32fair odd
EV +23.94%
Edge +8.34%
Kelly +12.80%
Growth +3.07%

assuming max odds 2.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.79%42.65%43.15%60.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.592.162.102.8762.89%46.36%47.62%34.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visit)

Prediction 56.81%1.76fair odd
EV +36.35%
Edge +15.15%
Kelly +25.97%
Growth +9.44%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.85%57.35%56.85%67.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.671.672.4071.43%59.85%59.88%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karolina Pliskova (Local): 43.19%; Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visit): 56.81%. For Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +36.35%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -31.33%E -19.71%K -53.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +36.35%E +15.15%K +25.97%G +9.44%4.6%2026-05-06 16:32
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -10.17%E -4.89%K -9.42%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -0.007%E -0.004%K -0.010%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 16:55
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -11.47%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -0.575%E -0.329%K -0.767%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 16:56
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.45%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 16:56
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.45%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 16:55
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.45%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 16:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.45%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.45%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 16:56
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.45%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 16:56
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.45%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 16:56
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 16:55
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -13.63%E -6.81%K -13.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 16:54
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 16:55
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 16:56
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 16:56
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 16:56
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.17%E -4.89%K -9.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 16:56
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.17%E -4.89%K -9.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 16:56
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.17%E -4.89%K -9.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 16:56
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.17%E -4.89%K -9.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 16:55
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 16:55
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 16:54
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 16:55
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 16:55
LeoVegas🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -10.61%E -5.12%K -9.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -11.47%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -5.69%E -3.43%K -8.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 16:56
Pinnacle🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%EV +1.06%E +0.451%K +0.787%G +0.008%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%EV -6.82%E -4.16%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 16:56
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.30%EV -14.49%E -7.32%K -14.79%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.70%EV -6.82%E -4.16%K -10.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-06 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.39%E -4.54%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -13.63%E -6.81%K -13.63%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -7.39%E -4.54%K -11.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-06 16:56
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.96%E -4.91%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 16:55
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.96%E -4.91%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 16:56
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-06 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-06 16:56
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -0.672%E -0.292%K -0.517%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -9.67%E -6.08%K -16.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 16:50
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +3.65%E +1.52%K +2.60%G +0.095%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -11.94%E -7.70%K -21.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 16:56
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -0.672%E -0.292%K -0.517%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -13.64%E -8.98%K -26.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-06 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +5.81%E +2.37%K +4.00%G +0.232%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -14.78%E -9.85%K -29.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 16:55
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +5.81%E +2.37%K +4.00%G +0.232%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -14.78%E -9.85%K -29.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 16:55
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV +13.15%E +5.02%K +8.12%G +1.07%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -17.62%E -12.15%K -39.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 16:55
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV +23.94%E +8.34%K +12.80%G +3.07%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -20.46%E -14.61%K -51.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 16:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-05-06 16:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-05-06 16:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-05-06 16:56
Matchbook◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%1.7%2026-05-06 16:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.0%2026-05-06 16:56
Novig◎2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%8.1%2026-05-06 16:56