Idioma:Español
Karolina Pliskova v Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Karolina Pliskova (Local)
Predicción 43.19%2.32momio equitativo
EV +23.94%
Ventaja +8.34%
Kelly +12.80%
Crecimiento +3.07%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.79%42.65%43.15%60.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.592.162.102.8762.89%46.36%47.62%34.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visitante)
Predicción 56.81%1.76momio equitativo
EV +36.35%
Ventaja +15.15%
Kelly +25.97%
Crecimiento +9.44%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.85%57.35%56.85%67.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.671.672.4071.43%59.85%59.88%41.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Karolina Pliskova (Local): 43.19%; Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visitante): 56.81%. Para Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.76. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.40, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +36.35%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -31.33%E -19.71%K -53.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +36.35%E +15.15%K +25.97%G +9.44% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 16:32 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -10.17%E -4.89%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -0.007%E -0.004%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -11.47%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -0.575%E -0.329%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 16:56 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.45%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 16:56 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.45%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 16:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.45%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.45%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.45%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 16:56 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.45%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 16:56 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.45%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 16:56 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 16:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -13.63%E -6.81%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-06 16:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 16:56 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 16:56 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 16:56 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 16:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.17%E -4.89%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 16:56 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.17%E -4.89%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 16:56 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.17%E -4.89%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 16:56 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.17%E -4.89%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 16:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 16:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 16:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 16:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -10.61%E -5.12%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -11.47%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -5.69%E -3.43%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-06 16:56 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%EV +1.06%E +0.451%K +0.787%G +0.008% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%EV -6.82%E -4.16%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-06 16:56 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.30%EV -14.49%E -7.32%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.70%EV -6.82%E -4.16%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-06 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.39%E -4.54%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 16:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -13.63%E -6.81%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -7.39%E -4.54%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-06 16:56 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.96%E -4.91%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 16:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.96%E -4.91%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 16:56 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-06 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-06 16:56 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -0.672%E -0.292%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -9.67%E -6.08%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 16:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +3.65%E +1.52%K +2.60%G +0.095% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -11.94%E -7.70%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 16:56 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -0.672%E -0.292%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -13.64%E -8.98%K -26.24%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-06 16:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +5.81%E +2.37%K +4.00%G +0.232% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -14.78%E -9.85%K -29.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 16:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +5.81%E +2.37%K +4.00%G +0.232% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -14.78%E -9.85%K -29.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 16:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV +13.15%E +5.02%K +8.12%G +1.07% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -17.62%E -12.15%K -39.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 16:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV +23.94%E +8.34%K +12.80%G +3.07% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -20.46%E -14.61%K -51.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 16:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 16:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 16:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-05-06 16:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50% | 1.7% | 2026-05-06 16:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.0% | 2026-05-06 16:56 |
| Novig◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38% | 8.1% | 2026-05-06 16:56 |