Language:English
Elina Svitolina v Noemi Basiletti
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Elina Svitolina (Local)
Prediction 91.36%1.09fair odd
EV -3.16%
Edge -2.98%
Kelly -52.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.38%91.44%91.21%94.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.041.041.0699.01%96.30%96.15%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Noemi Basiletti (Visit)
Prediction 8.64%11.57fair odd
EV +46.95%
Edge +2.76%
Kelly +2.93%
Growth +1.38%
assuming max odds 17.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.71%8.56%8.79%10.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5010.9310.6417.0011.76%9.15%9.39%5.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elina Svitolina (Local): 91.36%; Noemi Basiletti (Visit): 8.64%. For Noemi Basiletti (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.57. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 17.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +46.95%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.78%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +46.95%E +2.76%K +2.93%G +1.38% | 3.0% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -7.73%E -7.65%K -773.04%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +29.66%E +1.98%K +2.12%G +0.628% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 17:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -7.73%E -7.65%K -773.04%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +29.66%E +1.98%K +2.12%G +0.628% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 17:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -7.73%E -7.65%K -773.04%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +29.66%E +1.98%K +2.12%G +0.628% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 17:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.83%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 13.60I 7.35%NM 7.17%EV +17.56%E +1.29%K +1.39%G +0.245% | 2.6% | 2026-05-08 16:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +12.37%E +0.952%K +1.03%G +0.128% | 2.9% | 2026-05-08 10:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.74%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +12.37%E +0.952%K +1.03%G +0.128% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 16:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.82%E -6.68%K -340.84%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +12.37%E +0.952%K +1.03%G +0.128% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 17:02 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.74%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +8.05%E +0.644%K +0.700%G +0.056% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 12:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -7.73%E -7.65%K -773.04%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV +8.05%E +0.644%K +0.700%G +0.056% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -7.73%E -7.65%K -773.04%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV +8.05%E +0.644%K +0.700%G +0.056% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 16:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -7.73%E -7.65%K -773.04%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV +8.05%E +0.644%K +0.700%G +0.056% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.78%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +3.73%E +0.311%K +0.339%G +0.013% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.78%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +3.73%E +0.311%K +0.339%G +0.013% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 17:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -0.594%E -0.052%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-08 06:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.78%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -0.594%E -0.052%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.78%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -0.594%E -0.052%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 17:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.49%EV -3.16%E -2.98%K -52.71%G +0.000% | 11.40I 8.77%NM 8.51%EV -1.46%E -0.128%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 17:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.68%EV -6.82%E -6.68%K -340.84%G +0.000% | 11.24I 8.90%NM 8.32%EV -2.84%E -0.253%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 22:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.35%EV -3.16%E -2.98%K -52.71%G +0.000% | 11.20I 8.93%NM 8.65%EV -3.19%E -0.285%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-08 12:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -4.92%E -0.447%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 17:06 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -4.92%E -0.447%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 11:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.74%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -4.92%E -0.447%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 11:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.74%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -4.92%E -0.447%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 10:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.78%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -4.92%E -0.447%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 17:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.78%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -4.92%E -0.447%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 13:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.82%E -6.68%K -340.84%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -4.92%E -0.447%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 17:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.05%EV -3.16%E -2.98%K -52.71%G +0.000% | 10.79I 9.27%NM 8.95%EV -6.73%E -0.624%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-08 13:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.05%EV -3.16%E -2.98%K -52.71%G +0.000% | 10.79I 9.27%NM 8.95%EV -6.73%E -0.624%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-08 13:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -9.24%E -0.880%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 08:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -9.24%E -0.880%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 06:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.78%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -9.24%E -0.880%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 17:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.74%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -11.40%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 17:06 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.03%EV -7.73%E -7.65%K -773.04%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 8.97%EV -11.40%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 17:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -13.56%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 16:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -13.56%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 04:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.74%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -13.56%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 17:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 14:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 14:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 14:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 14:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 14:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 14:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 14:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 14:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 14:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 14:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 14:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 19:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 19:53 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 17:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -22.20%E -2.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 17:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.74%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -22.20%E -2.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 17:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.78%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -22.20%E -2.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 17:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.78%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -22.20%E -2.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 05:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 89.38%EV -7.73%E -7.65%K -773.04%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -26.53%E -3.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-08 17:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81% | 1.2% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81% | 1.2% | 2026-05-08 17:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81% | 1.2% | 2026-05-08 17:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.22% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.78% | 3.2% | 2026-05-08 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09% | 14.01I 7.14%NM 6.91% | 3.3% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |