StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Elina Svitolina v Noemi Basiletti

Matchstart: 2026-05-08 17:15 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

58 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Elina Svitolina (Hemma)

Prognos 91.36%1.09rättvist odds
EV -3.16%
Fördel -2.98%
Kelly -52.71%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.06

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
89.38%91.44%91.21%94.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.011.041.041.0699.01%96.30%96.15%94.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Noemi Basiletti (Borta)

Prognos 8.64%11.57rättvist odds
EV +46.95%
Fördel +2.76%
Kelly +2.93%
Tillväxt +1.38%

med antagandet om högsta odds 17.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
5.71%8.56%8.79%10.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
8.5010.9310.6417.0011.76%9.15%9.39%5.88%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Elina Svitolina (Hemma): 91.36%; Noemi Basiletti (Borta): 8.64%. För Noemi Basiletti (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 11.57. 14 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 17.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +46.95%.

Spelbolagsodds (58 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
BoyleSports🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.78%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +46.95%E +2.76%K +2.93%G +1.38%3.0%2026-05-07 18:40
888sport🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -7.73%E -7.65%K -773.04%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +29.66%E +1.98%K +2.12%G +0.628%5.7%2026-05-08 17:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -7.73%E -7.65%K -773.04%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +29.66%E +1.98%K +2.12%G +0.628%5.7%2026-05-08 17:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -7.73%E -7.65%K -773.04%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +29.66%E +1.98%K +2.12%G +0.628%5.7%2026-05-08 17:09
Pinnacle🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.83%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000%13.60I 7.35%NM 7.17%EV +17.56%E +1.29%K +1.39%G +0.245%2.6%2026-05-08 16:30
Coolbet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +12.37%E +0.952%K +1.03%G +0.128%2.9%2026-05-08 10:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +12.37%E +0.952%K +1.03%G +0.128%3.8%2026-05-08 16:20
William Hill🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.82%E -6.68%K -340.84%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +12.37%E +0.952%K +1.03%G +0.128%5.7%2026-05-08 17:02
Betclic (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.74%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +8.05%E +0.644%K +0.700%G +0.056%4.2%2026-05-08 12:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -7.73%E -7.65%K -773.04%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV +8.05%E +0.644%K +0.700%G +0.056%7.0%2026-05-08 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -7.73%E -7.65%K -773.04%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV +8.05%E +0.644%K +0.700%G +0.056%7.0%2026-05-08 16:19
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -7.73%E -7.65%K -773.04%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV +8.05%E +0.644%K +0.700%G +0.056%7.0%2026-05-08 16:20
Betway🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.78%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +3.73%E +0.311%K +0.339%G +0.013%5.4%2026-05-08 16:24
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.78%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +3.73%E +0.311%K +0.339%G +0.013%5.4%2026-05-08 17:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -0.594%E -0.052%K -0.057%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 06:45
Betsson🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.78%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -0.594%E -0.052%K -0.057%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 17:10
NordicBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.78%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -0.594%E -0.052%K -0.057%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 17:10
DraftKings🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.49%EV -3.16%E -2.98%K -52.71%G +0.000%11.40I 8.77%NM 8.51%EV -1.46%E -0.128%K -0.140%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-08 17:10
GTbets🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.68%EV -6.82%E -6.68%K -340.84%G +0.000%11.24I 8.90%NM 8.32%EV -2.84%E -0.253%K -0.278%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 22:05
FanDuel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.35%EV -3.16%E -2.98%K -52.71%G +0.000%11.20I 8.93%NM 8.65%EV -3.19%E -0.285%K -0.312%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-08 12:00
1xBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -4.92%E -0.447%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 17:06
Paddy Power🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -4.92%E -0.447%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 11:59
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.74%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -4.92%E -0.447%K -0.492%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 11:59
Bet Right🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.74%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -4.92%E -0.447%K -0.492%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:09
PlayUp🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.78%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -4.92%E -0.447%K -0.492%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 17:09
BetUS🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.78%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -4.92%E -0.447%K -0.492%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 13:19
TAB🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.82%E -6.68%K -340.84%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -4.92%E -0.447%K -0.492%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 17:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.05%EV -3.16%E -2.98%K -52.71%G +0.000%10.79I 9.27%NM 8.95%EV -6.73%E -0.624%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-08 13:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.05%EV -3.16%E -2.98%K -52.71%G +0.000%10.79I 9.27%NM 8.95%EV -6.73%E -0.624%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-08 13:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -9.24%E -0.880%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 08:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -9.24%E -0.880%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 06:44
BetMGM🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.78%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -9.24%E -0.880%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 17:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.74%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -11.40%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 17:06
Fliff🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.03%EV -7.73%E -7.65%K -773.04%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 8.97%EV -11.40%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 17:09
ReBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -13.56%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 16:00
theScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -13.56%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 04:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.74%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -13.56%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 17:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 14:19
BetRivers🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 14:19
Casumo🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 14:19
TABtouch🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 14:19
LeoVegas🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 14:19
Grosvenor🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 14:19
Unibet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 14:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 14:19
betPARX🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 14:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 14:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 19:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 19:53
Bally Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 17:10
Caesars🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -22.20%E -2.47%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 17:09
Bet Victor🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -22.20%E -2.47%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 17:10
Fanatics🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.78%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -22.20%E -2.47%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 17:10
Everygame🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.78%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -22.20%E -2.47%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 05:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 89.38%EV -7.73%E -7.65%K -773.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -26.53%E -3.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 17:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-05-08 16:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81%1.2%2026-05-08 16:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81%1.2%2026-05-08 17:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81%1.2%2026-05-08 17:09
Novig1.04I 96.15%NM 93.22%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.78%3.2%2026-05-08 17:10
Smarkets1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%14.01I 7.14%NM 6.91%3.3%2026-05-08 16:49