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Elina Svitolina v Noemi Basiletti
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Elina Svitolina (Хозяева)
Прогноз 91.36%1.09справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.16%
Преимущество -2.98%
Kelly -52.71%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.06
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
89.38%91.44%91.21%94.29%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.011.041.041.0699.01%96.30%96.15%94.34%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Noemi Basiletti (Гости)
Прогноз 8.64%11.57справедливый коэффициент
EV +46.95%
Преимущество +2.76%
Kelly +2.93%
Рост +1.38%
при максимальном коэффициенте 17.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
5.71%8.56%8.79%10.62%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
8.5010.9310.6417.0011.76%9.15%9.39%5.88%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Elina Svitolina (Хозяева): 91.36%; Noemi Basiletti (Гости): 8.64%. Для исхода «Noemi Basiletti (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 11.57. 14 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 17.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +46.95%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (58 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.78%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +46.95%E +2.76%K +2.93%G +1.38% | 3.0% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -7.73%E -7.65%K -773.04%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +29.66%E +1.98%K +2.12%G +0.628% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 17:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -7.73%E -7.65%K -773.04%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +29.66%E +1.98%K +2.12%G +0.628% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 17:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -7.73%E -7.65%K -773.04%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +29.66%E +1.98%K +2.12%G +0.628% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 17:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.83%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 13.60I 7.35%NM 7.17%EV +17.56%E +1.29%K +1.39%G +0.245% | 2.6% | 2026-05-08 16:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +12.37%E +0.952%K +1.03%G +0.128% | 2.9% | 2026-05-08 10:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.74%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +12.37%E +0.952%K +1.03%G +0.128% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 16:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.82%E -6.68%K -340.84%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +12.37%E +0.952%K +1.03%G +0.128% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 17:02 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.74%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +8.05%E +0.644%K +0.700%G +0.056% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 12:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -7.73%E -7.65%K -773.04%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV +8.05%E +0.644%K +0.700%G +0.056% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -7.73%E -7.65%K -773.04%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV +8.05%E +0.644%K +0.700%G +0.056% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 16:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -7.73%E -7.65%K -773.04%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV +8.05%E +0.644%K +0.700%G +0.056% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.78%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +3.73%E +0.311%K +0.339%G +0.013% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.78%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +3.73%E +0.311%K +0.339%G +0.013% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 17:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -0.594%E -0.052%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-08 06:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.78%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -0.594%E -0.052%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.78%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -0.594%E -0.052%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 17:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.49%EV -3.16%E -2.98%K -52.71%G +0.000% | 11.40I 8.77%NM 8.51%EV -1.46%E -0.128%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 17:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.68%EV -6.82%E -6.68%K -340.84%G +0.000% | 11.24I 8.90%NM 8.32%EV -2.84%E -0.253%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 22:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.35%EV -3.16%E -2.98%K -52.71%G +0.000% | 11.20I 8.93%NM 8.65%EV -3.19%E -0.285%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-08 12:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -4.92%E -0.447%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 17:06 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -4.92%E -0.447%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 11:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.74%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -4.92%E -0.447%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 11:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.74%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -4.92%E -0.447%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 10:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.78%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -4.92%E -0.447%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 17:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.78%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -4.92%E -0.447%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 13:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.82%E -6.68%K -340.84%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -4.92%E -0.447%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 17:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.05%EV -3.16%E -2.98%K -52.71%G +0.000% | 10.79I 9.27%NM 8.95%EV -6.73%E -0.624%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-08 13:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.05%EV -3.16%E -2.98%K -52.71%G +0.000% | 10.79I 9.27%NM 8.95%EV -6.73%E -0.624%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-08 13:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -9.24%E -0.880%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 08:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -9.24%E -0.880%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 06:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.78%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -9.24%E -0.880%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 17:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.74%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -11.40%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 17:06 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.03%EV -7.73%E -7.65%K -773.04%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 8.97%EV -11.40%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 17:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -13.56%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 16:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -13.56%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 04:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.74%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -13.56%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 17:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 14:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 14:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 14:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 14:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 14:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 14:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 14:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 14:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 14:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 14:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 14:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 19:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 19:53 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -17.88%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 17:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.08%E -3.88%K -81.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -22.20%E -2.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 17:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.74%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -22.20%E -2.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 17:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.78%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -22.20%E -2.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 17:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.78%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -22.20%E -2.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 05:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 89.38%EV -7.73%E -7.65%K -773.04%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -26.53%E -3.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-08 17:10 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81% | 1.2% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81% | 1.2% | 2026-05-08 17:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81% | 1.2% | 2026-05-08 17:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.22% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.78% | 3.2% | 2026-05-08 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09% | 14.01I 7.14%NM 6.91% | 3.3% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |