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Elina Svitolina v Hailey Baptiste
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Elina Svitolina (Local)
Prediction 68.30%1.46fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -3.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.53%68.22%68.44%71.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.381.401.4475.19%72.21%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hailey Baptiste (Visit)
Prediction 31.70%3.15fair odd
EV +4.62%
Edge +1.40%
Kelly +2.01%
Growth +0.093%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.88%31.78%31.56%34.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.932.903.3038.46%34.18%34.48%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elina Svitolina (Local): 68.30%; Hailey Baptiste (Visit): 31.70%. For Hailey Baptiste (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.15. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -8.48%E -6.33%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +4.62%E +1.40%K +2.01%G +0.093% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.17%E -6.89%K -27.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.04%E +0.935%K +1.35%G +0.041% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 09:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.17%E -6.89%K -27.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.04%E +0.935%K +1.35%G +0.041% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.17%E -6.89%K -27.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.04%E +0.935%K +1.35%G +0.041% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -9.17%E -6.89%K -27.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +1.45%E +0.454%K +0.660%G +0.010% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 09:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.07%EV -7.80%E -5.78%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.93%EV +0.184%E +0.058%K +0.085%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -6.43%E -4.70%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -1.08%E -0.348%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.65%EV -3.02%E -2.13%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.35%EV -1.40%E -0.451%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.43%E -4.70%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.72%E -0.554%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.12%E -5.23%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.72%E -0.554%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.12%E -5.23%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.72%E -0.554%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.12%E -5.23%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.72%E -0.554%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -2.35%E -0.764%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 09:08 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -3.62%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 08:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -3.94%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -3.94%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 09:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.07%E -3.65%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 09:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 09:08 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.12%E -5.23%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.80%E -5.78%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.43%EV -6.43%E -4.70%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.57%EV -5.84%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 09:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 09:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 09:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 08:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.12%E -5.23%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -9.17%E -6.89%K -27.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 09:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.70%E -2.63%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.70%E -2.63%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 09:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.70%E -2.63%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 09:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.70%E -2.63%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 09:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.70%E -2.63%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 08:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 09:02 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.02%E -2.13%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -8.69%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 08:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -7.12%E -5.23%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -9.01%E -3.14%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -2.34%E -1.63%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -9.33%E -3.26%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 09:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.64%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.64%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 09:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -8.48%E -6.33%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -9.64%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.02%E -2.13%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 09:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 09:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 09:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.65%E -1.15%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.81%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.81%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 09:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.81%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 08:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.81%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 09:08 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.81%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -7.12%E -5.23%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -12.81%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.02%E -2.13%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.40%E -5.33%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 09:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.02%E -2.13%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.40%E -5.33%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 09:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -14.40%E -5.33%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 09:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.83%EV -8.48%E -6.33%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -14.40%E -5.33%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.69%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.31%EV -15.03%E -5.61%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 09:06 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.66%EV -7.12%E -5.23%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.34%EV -17.57%E -6.76%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 2.2% | 2026-05-10 09:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96% | 2.7% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.79% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.21% | 3.1% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |