La escuela de los momios

Elina Svitolina v Hailey Baptiste

Inicio: 2026-05-10 09:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Predicción 68.30%1.46momio equitativo
EV -1.65%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -3.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.53%68.22%68.44%71.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.381.401.4475.19%72.21%71.43%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Hailey Baptiste (Visitante)

Predicción 31.70%3.15momio equitativo
EV +4.62%
Ventaja +1.40%
Kelly +2.01%
Crecimiento +0.093%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.88%31.78%31.56%34.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.932.903.3038.46%34.18%34.48%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -8.48%E -6.33%K -24.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +4.62%E +1.40%K +2.01%G +0.093%4.9%2026-05-10 09:09
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.17%E -6.89%K -27.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.04%E +0.935%K +1.35%G +0.041%6.0%2026-05-10 09:10
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.17%E -6.89%K -27.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.04%E +0.935%K +1.35%G +0.041%6.0%2026-05-10 09:09
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.17%E -6.89%K -27.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.04%E +0.935%K +1.35%G +0.041%6.0%2026-05-10 09:09
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -9.17%E -6.89%K -27.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +1.45%E +0.454%K +0.660%G +0.010%6.4%2026-05-10 09:10
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.07%EV -7.80%E -5.78%K -22.29%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.93%EV +0.184%E +0.058%K +0.085%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 09:09
Coolbet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -6.43%E -4.70%K -17.39%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -1.08%E -0.348%K -0.511%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 09:09
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 68.65%EV -3.02%E -2.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.35%EV -1.40%E -0.451%K -0.664%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-10 09:09
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.43%E -4.70%K -17.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.72%E -0.554%K -0.818%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 09:09
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.12%E -5.23%K -19.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.72%E -0.554%K -0.818%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 09:09
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.12%E -5.23%K -19.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.72%E -0.554%K -0.818%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 09:09
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.12%E -5.23%K -19.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.72%E -0.554%K -0.818%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 09:09
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -2.35%E -0.764%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 09:08
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -3.62%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 08:59
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -3.94%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 09:09
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -3.94%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 09:09
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 09:09
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 09:04
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.07%E -3.65%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 09:04
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 09:08
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.12%E -5.23%K -19.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 09:09
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.80%E -5.78%K -22.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 09:09
NetBet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.43%EV -6.43%E -4.70%K -17.39%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.57%EV -5.84%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 09:00
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 09:10
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 09:10
ReBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 08:58
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.12%E -5.23%K -19.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 09:09
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -9.17%E -6.89%K -27.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 09:10
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.70%E -2.63%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 09:09
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.70%E -2.63%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 09:10
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.70%E -2.63%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 09:10
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.70%E -2.63%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 09:10
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.70%E -2.63%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 09:09
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 08:59
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 09:02
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 09:09
GTbets1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.02%E -2.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -8.69%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 08:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -7.12%E -5.23%K -19.77%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -9.01%E -3.14%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 09:09
1xBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -2.34%E -1.63%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -9.33%E -3.26%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 09:05
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.64%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 09:09
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.64%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -8.48%E -6.33%K -24.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -9.64%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-10 09:09
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.02%E -2.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 09:04
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 09:10
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 09:09
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 09:10
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 09:10
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 09:10
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 09:09
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.65%E -1.15%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.81%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 09:09
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.81%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 09:10
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.81%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 08:59
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.81%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 09:08
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.81%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 09:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -7.12%E -5.23%K -19.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -12.81%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 09:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.02%E -2.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.40%E -5.33%K -8.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 09:05
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.02%E -2.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.40%E -5.33%K -8.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 09:05
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -14.40%E -5.33%K -8.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 09:10
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 66.83%EV -8.48%E -6.33%K -24.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -14.40%E -5.33%K -8.47%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-10 09:09
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.69%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.31%EV -15.03%E -5.61%K -8.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 09:06
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.66%EV -7.12%E -5.23%K -19.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.34%EV -17.57%E -6.76%K -10.98%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-10 09:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-05-10 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-05-10 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-10 09:09
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-05-10 09:10
Smarkets1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%2.7%2026-05-10 09:09
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 70.79%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.21%3.1%2026-05-10 09:09