L’École des cotes

Elina Svitolina v Hailey Baptiste

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 09:11 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Prévision 68.30%1.46cote équitable
EV -1.65%
Avantage -1.15%
Kelly -3.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.53%68.22%68.44%71.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.381.401.4475.19%72.21%71.43%69.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hailey Baptiste (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.70%3.15cote équitable
EV +4.62%
Avantage +1.40%
Kelly +2.01%
Croissance +0.093%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.88%31.78%31.56%34.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.932.903.3038.46%34.18%34.48%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -8.48%E -6.33%K -24.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +4.62%E +1.40%K +2.01%G +0.093%4.9%2026-05-10 09:09
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.17%E -6.89%K -27.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.04%E +0.935%K +1.35%G +0.041%6.0%2026-05-10 09:10
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.17%E -6.89%K -27.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.04%E +0.935%K +1.35%G +0.041%6.0%2026-05-10 09:09
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.17%E -6.89%K -27.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.04%E +0.935%K +1.35%G +0.041%6.0%2026-05-10 09:09
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -9.17%E -6.89%K -27.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +1.45%E +0.454%K +0.660%G +0.010%6.4%2026-05-10 09:10
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.07%EV -7.80%E -5.78%K -22.29%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.93%EV +0.184%E +0.058%K +0.085%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 09:09
Coolbet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -6.43%E -4.70%K -17.39%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -1.08%E -0.348%K -0.511%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 09:09
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 68.65%EV -3.02%E -2.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.35%EV -1.40%E -0.451%K -0.664%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-10 09:09
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.43%E -4.70%K -17.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.72%E -0.554%K -0.818%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 09:09
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.12%E -5.23%K -19.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.72%E -0.554%K -0.818%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 09:09
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.12%E -5.23%K -19.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.72%E -0.554%K -0.818%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 09:09
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.12%E -5.23%K -19.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.72%E -0.554%K -0.818%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 09:09
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -2.35%E -0.764%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 09:08
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -3.62%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 08:59
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -3.94%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 09:09
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -3.94%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 09:09
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 09:09
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 09:04
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.07%E -3.65%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 09:04
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 09:08
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.12%E -5.23%K -19.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 09:09
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.80%E -5.78%K -22.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 09:09
NetBet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.43%EV -6.43%E -4.70%K -17.39%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.57%EV -5.84%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 09:00
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 09:10
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 09:10
ReBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 08:58
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.12%E -5.23%K -19.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 09:09
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -9.17%E -6.89%K -27.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 09:10
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.70%E -2.63%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 09:09
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.70%E -2.63%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 09:10
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.70%E -2.63%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 09:10
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.70%E -2.63%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 09:10
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.70%E -2.63%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 09:09
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 08:59
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 09:02
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 09:09
GTbets1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.02%E -2.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -8.69%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 08:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -7.12%E -5.23%K -19.77%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -9.01%E -3.14%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 09:09
1xBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -2.34%E -1.63%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -9.33%E -3.26%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 09:05
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.64%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 09:09
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.64%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -8.48%E -6.33%K -24.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -9.64%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-10 09:09
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.02%E -2.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 09:04
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 09:10
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 09:09
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 09:10
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 09:10
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 09:10
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 09:09
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.65%E -1.15%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.81%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 09:09
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.81%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 09:10
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.81%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 08:59
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.81%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 09:08
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.81%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 09:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -7.12%E -5.23%K -19.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -12.81%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 09:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.02%E -2.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.40%E -5.33%K -8.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 09:05
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.02%E -2.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.40%E -5.33%K -8.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 09:05
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -14.40%E -5.33%K -8.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 09:10
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 66.83%EV -8.48%E -6.33%K -24.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -14.40%E -5.33%K -8.47%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-10 09:09
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.69%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.31%EV -15.03%E -5.61%K -8.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 09:06
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.66%EV -7.12%E -5.23%K -19.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.34%EV -17.57%E -6.76%K -10.98%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-10 09:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-05-10 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-05-10 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-10 09:09
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-05-10 09:10
Smarkets1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%2.7%2026-05-10 09:09
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 70.79%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.21%3.1%2026-05-10 09:09