Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.25
assuming max odds 1.44
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elina Svitolina (Local): 31.40%; Elena Rybakina (Visit): 68.60%. For Elina Svitolina (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.18. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.05%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV +2.05%E +0.632%K +0.913%G +0.019% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-13 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +0.484%E +0.151%K +0.220%G +0.001% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -1.09%E -0.345%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.02%E -4.39%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-13 17:48 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -2.03%E -0.650%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.02%E -4.39%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.02%E -4.39%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 17:36 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 17:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -3.28%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.60%E -1.17%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-13 17:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.60%E -1.17%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -2.59%E -1.82%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-13 17:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 17:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.39%E -5.48%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-13 17:36 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.39%E -5.48%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.39%E -5.48%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-13 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -4.85%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -4.65%E -3.34%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 17:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.59%E -1.82%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-13 17:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-13 17:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.65%E -3.34%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 17:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 17:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 17:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-13 17:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-13 17:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-13 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-13 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-13 17:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.39%E -5.48%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-13 17:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.37%E -2.50%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 17:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.37%E -2.50%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.02%E -4.39%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-13 17:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.37%E -2.50%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-13 17:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -7.68%E -2.61%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-13 17:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.94%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.94%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.94%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.94%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.94%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-13 17:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -8.94%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -8.08%E -6.03%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-13 17:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -9.88%E -3.44%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.51%E -3.69%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.51%E -3.69%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.70%EV -11.45%E -4.06%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.30%EV -6.02%E -4.39%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-13 17:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -13.65%E -4.96%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.22%E -0.846%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 17:36 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-05-13 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-05-13 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-05-13 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-05-13 17:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74% | 1.7% | 2026-05-13 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89% | 2.2% | 2026-05-13 17:55 |