La escuela de los momios

Elina Svitolina v Elena Rybakina

Inicio: 2026-05-13 17:57 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Predicción 31.40%3.18momio equitativo
EV +2.05%
Ventaja +0.632%
Kelly +0.913%
Crecimiento +0.019%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.11%31.48%31.48%34.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.023.043.2536.36%33.11%32.89%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Elena Rybakina (Visitante)

Predicción 68.60%1.46momio equitativo
EV -1.22%
Ventaja -0.846%
Kelly -2.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.63%68.52%68.52%69.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.341.371.361.4474.63%72.84%73.53%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV +2.05%E +0.632%K +0.913%G +0.019%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-13 17:55
Winamax (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +0.484%E +0.151%K +0.220%G +0.001%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-13 17:35
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -1.09%E -0.345%K -0.505%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.02%E -4.39%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 17:48
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -2.03%E -0.650%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 17:35
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 17:35
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.02%E -4.39%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 17:35
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.02%E -4.39%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 17:35
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:35
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:35
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:35
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:35
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:35
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:35
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:35
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:35
Bally Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:35
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:35
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:36
Hard Rock Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:34
SportsBet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -3.28%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 17:55
LowVig.ag3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.60%E -1.17%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 17:44
BetOnline.ag3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.60%E -1.17%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 17:45
Coolbet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -2.59%E -1.82%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-13 17:50
FanDuel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 17:55
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 17:35
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.39%E -5.48%K -21.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 17:36
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.39%E -5.48%K -21.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 17:35
NetBet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.39%E -5.48%K -21.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 17:40
DraftKings3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -4.85%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -4.65%E -3.34%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 17:55
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.59%E -1.82%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 17:49
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 17:40
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.65%E -3.34%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 17:55
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:45
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:55
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:55
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:55
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 17:50
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 17:55
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 17:55
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 17:55
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 17:55
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.39%E -5.48%K -21.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 17:55
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.37%E -2.50%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 17:39
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.37%E -2.50%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.02%E -4.39%K -16.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 17:55
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.37%E -2.50%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 17:55
PointsBet (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -7.68%E -2.61%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 17:50
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.94%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 17:35
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.94%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.94%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-13 17:35
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.94%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-13 17:35
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.94%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-13 17:24
Fliff2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -8.94%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -8.08%E -6.03%K -23.76%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-13 17:55
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -9.88%E -3.44%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-13 17:35
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.51%E -3.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.51%E -3.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 17:35
Betclic (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 32.70%EV -11.45%E -4.06%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.30%EV -6.02%E -4.39%K -16.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 17:50
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -13.65%E -4.96%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.22%E -0.846%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:36
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-05-13 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-05-13 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-05-13 17:55
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-05-13 17:55
Novig3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%1.7%2026-05-13 17:50
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%2.2%2026-05-13 17:55