Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Elina Svitolina v Elena Rybakina

Início: 2026-05-13 17:57 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Previsão 31.40%3.18odd justa
EV +2.05%
Vantagem +0.632%
Kelly +0.913%
Crescimento +0.019%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.11%31.48%31.48%34.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.753.023.043.2536.36%33.11%32.89%30.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Elena Rybakina (Visitante)

Previsão 68.60%1.46odd justa
EV -1.22%
Vantagem -0.846%
Kelly -2.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.63%68.52%68.52%69.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.341.371.361.4474.63%72.84%73.53%69.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Elina Svitolina (Local): 31.40%; Elena Rybakina (Visitante): 68.60%. Para Elina Svitolina (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.18. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.05%.

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV +2.05%E +0.632%K +0.913%G +0.019%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-13 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +0.484%E +0.151%K +0.220%G +0.001%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-13 17:35
BetUS🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -1.09%E -0.345%K -0.505%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.02%E -4.39%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 17:48
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -2.03%E -0.650%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 17:35
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 17:35
Winamax (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.02%E -4.39%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 17:35
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.02%E -4.39%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 17:35
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:35
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:35
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:35
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:35
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:35
Bally Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:35
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:36
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:34
SportsBet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -3.28%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.60%E -1.17%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 17:44
BetOnline.ag🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.60%E -1.17%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 17:45
Coolbet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -2.59%E -1.82%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-13 17:50
FanDuel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 17:55
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.39%E -5.48%K -21.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 17:36
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.39%E -5.48%K -21.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 17:35
NetBet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.39%E -5.48%K -21.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 17:40
DraftKings🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -4.85%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -4.65%E -3.34%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 17:55
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.59%E -1.82%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 17:49
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 17:40
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.65%E -3.34%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 17:55
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:45
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:55
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:55
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:55
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 17:50
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 17:55
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.39%E -5.48%K -21.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 17:55
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.37%E -2.50%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 17:39
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.37%E -2.50%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.02%E -4.39%K -16.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 17:55
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.37%E -2.50%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -7.68%E -2.61%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 17:50
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.94%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 17:35
Caesars🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.94%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.94%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-13 17:35
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.94%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-13 17:35
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.94%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-13 17:24
Fliff🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -8.94%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -8.08%E -6.03%K -23.76%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-13 17:55
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -9.88%E -3.44%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-13 17:35
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.51%E -3.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.51%E -3.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 17:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.70%EV -11.45%E -4.06%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.30%EV -6.02%E -4.39%K -16.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 17:50
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -13.65%E -4.96%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.22%E -0.846%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 17:36
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-05-13 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-05-13 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-05-13 17:55
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-05-13 17:55
Novig3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%1.7%2026-05-13 17:50
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%2.2%2026-05-13 17:55