Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coco Gauff v Tereza Valentova

Kickoff: 2026-05-07 14:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coco Gauff (Local)

Prediction 76.93%1.30fair odd
EV +2.32%
Edge +1.74%
Kelly +7.02%
Growth +0.163%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.98%76.29%77.07%79.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.231.221.3385.47%81.50%81.97%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tereza Valentova (Visit)

Prediction 23.07%4.33fair odd
EV +6.12%
Edge +1.33%
Kelly +1.70%
Growth +0.104%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.69%23.71%22.93%30.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.104.054.104.6032.26%24.70%24.39%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coco Gauff (Local): 76.93%; Tereza Valentova (Visit): 23.07%. For Tereza Valentova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.33. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.12%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV +2.32%E +1.74%K +7.02%G +0.163%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -28.48%E -9.19%K -13.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 14:25
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV +0.009%E +0.007%K +0.029%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -25.02%E -7.70%K -11.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 14:24
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -0.761%E -0.590%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -21.56%E -6.34%K -8.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 14:24
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -0.761%E -0.590%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -21.56%E -6.34%K -8.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 14:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.14%EV -0.761%E -0.590%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.86%EV -26.64%E -8.38%K -12.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 14:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -3.07%E -2.44%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -16.95%E -4.71%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 13:35
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -3.07%E -2.44%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -16.95%E -4.71%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 13:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.84%E -3.07%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 14:24
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.84%E -3.07%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.87%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 14:25
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.84%E -3.07%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -14.64%E -3.96%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 14:25
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.84%E -3.07%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -14.64%E -3.96%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 14:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -3.84%E -3.07%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -16.95%E -4.71%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 14:25
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.17%EV -4.61%E -3.72%K -19.20%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.83%EV +2.43%E +0.548%K +0.707%G +0.017%3.2%2026-05-07 14:20
GTbets🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.91%EV -4.61%E -3.72%K -19.20%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.09%EV -4.72%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 13:45
ReBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.61%E -3.72%K -19.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.41%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -4.61%E -3.72%K -19.20%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -6.57%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 14:09
PlayUp🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.61%E -3.72%K -19.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 14:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.56%EV -4.61%E -3.72%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -20.41%E -5.92%K -8.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-07 14:24
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -5.38%E -4.37%K -23.38%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV +0.125%E +0.029%K +0.037%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 14:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.38%E -4.37%K -23.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.798%E -0.186%K -0.242%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -5.38%E -4.37%K -23.38%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -1.49%E -0.349%K -0.456%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 14:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -5.38%E -4.37%K -23.38%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -1.49%E -0.349%K -0.456%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 14:10
DraftKings🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.51%EV -5.38%E -4.37%K -23.38%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.49%EV -2.18%E -0.515%K -0.674%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 14:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.38%E -4.37%K -23.38%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -6.57%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +0.355%E +0.082%K +0.106%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 14:25
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +0.355%E +0.082%K +0.106%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +0.355%E +0.082%K +0.106%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +0.355%E +0.082%K +0.106%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +0.355%E +0.082%K +0.106%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 14:25
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +0.355%E +0.082%K +0.106%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 14:25
Bet Right🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -0.798%E -0.186%K -0.242%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 14:18
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.95%E -0.459%K -0.600%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 14:09
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.11%E -0.739%K -0.970%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 14:09
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.11%E -0.739%K -0.970%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -4.26%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 14:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 14:20
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 14:25
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 14:25
SportsBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -6.91%E -5.71%K -32.93%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +2.66%E +0.598%K +0.772%G +0.021%5.1%2026-05-07 14:20
BetRivers🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.91%E -5.71%K -32.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.11%E -0.739%K -0.970%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.91%E -5.71%K -32.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.11%E -0.739%K -0.970%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.91%E -5.71%K -32.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.11%E -0.739%K -0.970%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 14:25
Grosvenor🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.91%E -5.71%K -32.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.11%E -0.739%K -0.970%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 14:25
Bally Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.91%E -5.71%K -32.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.11%E -0.739%K -0.970%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 14:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.91%E -5.71%K -32.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.41%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 14:19
Fliff🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -6.91%E -5.71%K -32.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -11.18%E -2.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 14:25
Coolbet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +6.12%E +1.33%K +1.70%G +0.104%5.1%2026-05-07 14:25
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +6.12%E +1.33%K +1.70%G +0.104%5.1%2026-05-07 14:25
Betsson🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +1.51%E +0.343%K +0.444%G +0.007%6.1%2026-05-07 14:25
NordicBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +1.51%E +0.343%K +0.444%G +0.007%6.1%2026-05-07 14:25
theScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -1.95%E -0.459%K -0.600%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 14:25
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.41%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 14:25
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 14:25
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 14:25
Everygame🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -8.45%E -7.10%K -44.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -5.41%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 14:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -9.99%E -8.54%K -58.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-07 14:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -9.99%E -8.54%K -58.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -13.49%E -3.60%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-07 14:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-05-07 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-05-07 14:25
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30%1.6%2026-05-07 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-05-07 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%3.7%2026-05-07 14:25
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%6.0%2026-05-07 14:25