Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Coco Gauff v Tereza Valentova

Início: 2026-05-07 14:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Coco Gauff (Local)

Previsão 76.93%1.30odd justa
EV +2.32%
Vantagem +1.74%
Kelly +7.02%
Crescimento +0.163%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.98%76.29%77.07%79.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.171.231.221.3385.47%81.50%81.97%75.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tereza Valentova (Visitante)

Previsão 23.07%4.33odd justa
EV +6.12%
Vantagem +1.33%
Kelly +1.70%
Crescimento +0.104%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.69%23.71%22.93%30.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.104.054.104.6032.26%24.70%24.39%21.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Coco Gauff (Local): 76.93%; Tereza Valentova (Visitante): 23.07%. Para Tereza Valentova (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.33. 13 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.60, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +6.12%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV +2.32%E +1.74%K +7.02%G +0.163%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -28.48%E -9.19%K -13.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 14:25
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV +0.009%E +0.007%K +0.029%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -25.02%E -7.70%K -11.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 14:24
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -0.761%E -0.590%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -21.56%E -6.34%K -8.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 14:24
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -0.761%E -0.590%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -21.56%E -6.34%K -8.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 14:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.14%EV -0.761%E -0.590%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.86%EV -26.64%E -8.38%K -12.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 14:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -3.07%E -2.44%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -16.95%E -4.71%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 13:35
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -3.07%E -2.44%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -16.95%E -4.71%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 13:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.84%E -3.07%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 14:24
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.84%E -3.07%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.87%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 14:25
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.84%E -3.07%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -14.64%E -3.96%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 14:25
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.84%E -3.07%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -14.64%E -3.96%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 14:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -3.84%E -3.07%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -16.95%E -4.71%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 14:25
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.17%EV -4.61%E -3.72%K -19.20%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.83%EV +2.43%E +0.548%K +0.707%G +0.017%3.2%2026-05-07 14:20
GTbets🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.91%EV -4.61%E -3.72%K -19.20%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.09%EV -4.72%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 13:45
ReBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.61%E -3.72%K -19.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.41%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -4.61%E -3.72%K -19.20%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -6.57%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 14:09
PlayUp🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.61%E -3.72%K -19.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 14:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.56%EV -4.61%E -3.72%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -20.41%E -5.92%K -8.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-07 14:24
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -5.38%E -4.37%K -23.38%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV +0.125%E +0.029%K +0.037%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 14:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.38%E -4.37%K -23.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.798%E -0.186%K -0.242%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -5.38%E -4.37%K -23.38%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -1.49%E -0.349%K -0.456%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 14:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -5.38%E -4.37%K -23.38%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -1.49%E -0.349%K -0.456%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 14:10
DraftKings🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.51%EV -5.38%E -4.37%K -23.38%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.49%EV -2.18%E -0.515%K -0.674%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 14:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.38%E -4.37%K -23.38%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -6.57%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +0.355%E +0.082%K +0.106%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 14:25
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +0.355%E +0.082%K +0.106%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +0.355%E +0.082%K +0.106%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +0.355%E +0.082%K +0.106%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +0.355%E +0.082%K +0.106%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 14:25
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +0.355%E +0.082%K +0.106%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 14:25
Bet Right🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -0.798%E -0.186%K -0.242%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 14:18
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.95%E -0.459%K -0.600%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 14:09
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.11%E -0.739%K -0.970%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 14:09
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.11%E -0.739%K -0.970%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -4.26%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 14:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 14:20
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 14:25
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 14:25
SportsBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -6.91%E -5.71%K -32.93%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +2.66%E +0.598%K +0.772%G +0.021%5.1%2026-05-07 14:20
BetRivers🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.91%E -5.71%K -32.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.11%E -0.739%K -0.970%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.91%E -5.71%K -32.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.11%E -0.739%K -0.970%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.91%E -5.71%K -32.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.11%E -0.739%K -0.970%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 14:25
Grosvenor🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.91%E -5.71%K -32.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.11%E -0.739%K -0.970%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 14:25
Bally Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.91%E -5.71%K -32.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.11%E -0.739%K -0.970%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 14:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.91%E -5.71%K -32.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.41%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 14:19
Fliff🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -6.91%E -5.71%K -32.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -11.18%E -2.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 14:25
Coolbet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +6.12%E +1.33%K +1.70%G +0.104%5.1%2026-05-07 14:25
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +6.12%E +1.33%K +1.70%G +0.104%5.1%2026-05-07 14:25
Betsson🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +1.51%E +0.343%K +0.444%G +0.007%6.1%2026-05-07 14:25
NordicBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +1.51%E +0.343%K +0.444%G +0.007%6.1%2026-05-07 14:25
theScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -1.95%E -0.459%K -0.600%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 14:25
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.41%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 14:25
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 14:25
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 14:25
Everygame🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -8.45%E -7.10%K -44.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -5.41%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 14:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -9.99%E -8.54%K -58.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-07 14:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -9.99%E -8.54%K -58.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -13.49%E -3.60%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-07 14:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-05-07 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-05-07 14:25
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30%1.6%2026-05-07 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-05-07 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%3.7%2026-05-07 14:25
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%6.0%2026-05-07 14:25