L’École des cotes

Coco Gauff v Tereza Valentova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-07 14:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Coco Gauff (Local)

Prévision 76.93%1.30cote équitable
EV +2.32%
Avantage +1.74%
Kelly +7.02%
Croissance +0.163%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.98%76.29%77.07%79.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.171.231.221.3385.47%81.50%81.97%75.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tereza Valentova (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.07%4.33cote équitable
EV +6.12%
Avantage +1.33%
Kelly +1.70%
Croissance +0.104%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.69%23.71%22.93%30.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.104.054.104.6032.26%24.70%24.39%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV +2.32%E +1.74%K +7.02%G +0.163%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -28.48%E -9.19%K -13.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 14:25
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV +0.009%E +0.007%K +0.029%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -25.02%E -7.70%K -11.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 14:24
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -0.761%E -0.590%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -21.56%E -6.34%K -8.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 14:24
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -0.761%E -0.590%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -21.56%E -6.34%K -8.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 14:24
Betclic (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.14%EV -0.761%E -0.590%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.86%EV -26.64%E -8.38%K -12.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 14:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -3.07%E -2.44%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -16.95%E -4.71%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 13:35
Neds1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -3.07%E -2.44%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -16.95%E -4.71%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 13:35
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.84%E -3.07%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 14:24
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.84%E -3.07%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.87%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 14:25
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.84%E -3.07%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -14.64%E -3.96%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 14:25
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.84%E -3.07%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -14.64%E -3.96%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 14:25
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -3.84%E -3.07%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -16.95%E -4.71%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 14:25
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 78.17%EV -4.61%E -3.72%K -19.20%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.83%EV +2.43%E +0.548%K +0.707%G +0.017%3.2%2026-05-07 14:20
GTbets1.24I 80.65%NM 76.91%EV -4.61%E -3.72%K -19.20%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.09%EV -4.72%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 13:45
ReBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.61%E -3.72%K -19.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.41%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 13:40
Marathon Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -4.61%E -3.72%K -19.20%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -6.57%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 14:09
PlayUp1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.61%E -3.72%K -19.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 14:09
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 73.56%EV -4.61%E -3.72%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -20.41%E -5.92%K -8.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-07 14:24
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -5.38%E -4.37%K -23.38%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV +0.125%E +0.029%K +0.037%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 14:05
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.38%E -4.37%K -23.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.798%E -0.186%K -0.242%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 14:25
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -5.38%E -4.37%K -23.38%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -1.49%E -0.349%K -0.456%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 14:09
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -5.38%E -4.37%K -23.38%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -1.49%E -0.349%K -0.456%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 14:10
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 77.51%EV -5.38%E -4.37%K -23.38%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.49%EV -2.18%E -0.515%K -0.674%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 14:25
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.38%E -4.37%K -23.38%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -6.57%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 13:35
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +0.355%E +0.082%K +0.106%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 14:25
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +0.355%E +0.082%K +0.106%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 14:25
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +0.355%E +0.082%K +0.106%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 14:25
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +0.355%E +0.082%K +0.106%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 14:25
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +0.355%E +0.082%K +0.106%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 14:25
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +0.355%E +0.082%K +0.106%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 14:25
Bet Right1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -0.798%E -0.186%K -0.242%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 14:18
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.95%E -0.459%K -0.600%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 14:09
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.11%E -0.739%K -0.970%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 14:09
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.11%E -0.739%K -0.970%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 14:25
Betr (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -4.26%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 14:15
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 14:20
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 14:25
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 14:10
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 14:25
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.15%E -5.04%K -27.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 14:25
SportsBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -6.91%E -5.71%K -32.93%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +2.66%E +0.598%K +0.772%G +0.021%5.1%2026-05-07 14:20
BetRivers1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.91%E -5.71%K -32.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.11%E -0.739%K -0.970%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 14:25
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.91%E -5.71%K -32.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.11%E -0.739%K -0.970%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 14:25
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.91%E -5.71%K -32.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.11%E -0.739%K -0.970%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 14:25
Grosvenor1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.91%E -5.71%K -32.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.11%E -0.739%K -0.970%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 14:25
Bally Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.91%E -5.71%K -32.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.11%E -0.739%K -0.970%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 14:25
NetBet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.91%E -5.71%K -32.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.41%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 14:19
Fliff1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -6.91%E -5.71%K -32.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -11.18%E -2.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 14:25
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +6.12%E +1.33%K +1.70%G +0.104%5.1%2026-05-07 14:25
FanDuel1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +6.12%E +1.33%K +1.70%G +0.104%5.1%2026-05-07 14:25
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +1.51%E +0.343%K +0.444%G +0.007%6.1%2026-05-07 14:25
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +1.51%E +0.343%K +0.444%G +0.007%6.1%2026-05-07 14:25
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -1.95%E -0.459%K -0.600%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 14:25
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.41%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 14:25
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 14:25
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 14:25
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -8.45%E -7.10%K -44.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -5.41%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 14:25
PMU (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -9.99%E -8.54%K -58.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-07 14:25
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -9.99%E -8.54%K -58.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -13.49%E -3.60%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-07 14:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-05-07 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-05-07 14:25
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30%1.6%2026-05-07 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-05-07 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%3.7%2026-05-07 14:25
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%6.0%2026-05-07 14:25