Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coco Gauff v Mirra Andreeva

Kickoff: 2026-05-12 17:16 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coco Gauff (Local)

Prediction 47.52%2.10fair odd
EV +0.745%
Edge +0.351%
Kelly +0.665%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%47.94%47.80%55.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.931.952.1258.82%51.69%51.28%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mirra Andreeva (Visit)

Prediction 52.48%1.91fair odd
EV +12.83%
Edge +5.97%
Kelly +11.16%
Growth +1.43%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.16%52.06%52.20%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.831.812.1559.88%54.50%55.25%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coco Gauff (Local): 47.52%; Mirra Andreeva (Visit): 52.48%. For Mirra Andreeva (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.91. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.83%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -19.21%E -11.30%K -27.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV +12.83%E +5.97%K +11.16%G +1.43%5.3%2026-05-12 17:11
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -19.21%E -11.30%K -27.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV +12.83%E +5.97%K +11.16%G +1.43%5.3%2026-05-12 17:11
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -19.21%E -11.30%K -27.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV +12.83%E +5.97%K +11.16%G +1.43%5.3%2026-05-12 17:11
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -17.79%E -10.28%K -24.37%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV +10.73%E +5.09%K +9.67%G +1.04%5.2%2026-05-12 17:11
DraftKings🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -15.41%E -8.66%K -19.76%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +8.11%E +3.94%K +7.65%G +0.620%4.7%2026-05-12 17:11
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -15.89%E -8.98%K -20.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +7.58%E +3.70%K +7.22%G +0.547%5.3%2026-05-12 17:15
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -12.09%E -6.53%K -14.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +2.33%E +1.20%K +2.46%G +0.057%5.3%2026-05-12 17:15
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -6.38%E -3.24%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV +1.28%E +0.665%K +1.38%G +0.018%2.6%2026-05-12 17:05
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -11.14%E -5.95%K -12.80%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV +1.28%E +0.665%K +1.38%G +0.018%5.3%2026-05-12 17:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -8.76%E -4.56%K -9.52%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV +0.760%E +0.396%K +0.826%G +0.006%4.2%2026-05-12 16:59
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.23%E -4.83%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.235%E +0.123%K +0.258%G +0.001%4.7%2026-05-12 16:59
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.23%E -4.83%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.235%E +0.123%K +0.258%G +0.001%4.7%2026-05-12 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -14.46%E -8.03%K -18.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +0.235%E +0.123%K +0.258%G +0.001%7.9%2026-05-12 17:14
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -14.46%E -8.03%K -18.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +0.235%E +0.123%K +0.258%G +0.001%7.9%2026-05-12 17:10
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.14%E -5.95%K -12.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.86%E -0.997%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 17:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.14%E -5.95%K -12.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.86%E -0.997%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 17:05
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.14%E -5.95%K -12.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.86%E -0.997%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 17:05
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.14%E -5.95%K -12.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.86%E -0.997%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 17:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -2.39%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 17:08
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -2.39%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 17:08
Betr (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -9.23%E -4.83%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -2.39%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 17:03
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.33%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.91%E -1.58%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:59
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.33%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.91%E -1.58%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 17:03
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -8.28%E -4.29%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -2.91%E -1.58%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 17:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -10.66%E -5.67%K -12.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -2.91%E -1.58%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 17:00
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -12.09%E -6.53%K -14.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.58%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-12 16:59
SportsBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.48%E -2.23%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -3.96%E -2.17%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 17:05
GTbets🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.43%E -2.73%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -3.96%E -2.17%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 16:58
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.33%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.96%E -2.17%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 17:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -9.71%E -5.11%K -10.79%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -4.49%E -2.47%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 17:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.01%E -2.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 17:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.01%E -2.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 17:15
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.33%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 17:15
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.23%E -4.83%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 17:14
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.23%E -4.83%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 17:15
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -6.38%E -3.24%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -6.06%E -3.39%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 17:15
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -6.38%E -3.24%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -6.06%E -3.39%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 17:15
Bet Right🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -6.06%E -3.39%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 17:03
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -6.38%E -3.24%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.59%E -3.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 17:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -6.38%E -3.24%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.59%E -3.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 17:15
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -6.59%E -3.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 17:15
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -6.59%E -3.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 17:15
LeoVegas🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -7.81%E -4.03%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 17:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.89%EV -12.56%E -6.83%K -14.95%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.11%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-12 17:15
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.58%E -1.26%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 17:15
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.58%E -1.26%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 17:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.28%E -4.29%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-12 17:15
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -0.206%E -0.098%K -0.187%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -8.69%E -4.99%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 17:15
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.745%E +0.351%K +0.665%G +0.005%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -9.21%E -5.32%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 17:15
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.206%E -0.098%K -0.187%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.21%E -5.32%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 17:15
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -2.58%E -1.26%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -9.21%E -5.32%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 17:09
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.21%E -5.32%K -12.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-12 17:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.78%EV -10.66%E -5.67%K -12.11%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.22%EV -9.74%E -5.66%K -13.52%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-12 17:15
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -10.26%E -6.00%K -14.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 17:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -1.16%E -0.556%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -10.79%E -6.34%K -15.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 17:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.58%E -1.26%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.79%E -6.34%K -15.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 17:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.58%E -1.26%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.79%E -6.34%K -15.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 17:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -11.31%E -6.69%K -16.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-12 17:15
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -11.31%E -6.69%K -16.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-12 17:15
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -0.206%E -0.098%K -0.187%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -12.36%E -7.40%K -18.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 17:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-05-12 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-05-12 17:15
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-05-12 17:11
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%2.9%2026-05-12 17:11
Novig2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%5.9%2026-05-12 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%6.1%2026-05-12 17:15