L’École des cotes

Coco Gauff v Mirra Andreeva

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-12 17:16 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Coco Gauff (Local)

Prévision 47.52%2.10cote équitable
EV +0.745%
Avantage +0.351%
Kelly +0.665%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.30%47.94%47.80%55.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.931.952.1258.82%51.69%51.28%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mirra Andreeva (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.48%1.91cote équitable
EV +12.83%
Avantage +5.97%
Kelly +11.16%
Croissance +1.43%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.16%52.06%52.20%55.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.831.812.1559.88%54.50%55.25%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -19.21%E -11.30%K -27.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV +12.83%E +5.97%K +11.16%G +1.43%5.3%2026-05-12 17:11
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -19.21%E -11.30%K -27.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV +12.83%E +5.97%K +11.16%G +1.43%5.3%2026-05-12 17:11
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -19.21%E -11.30%K -27.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV +12.83%E +5.97%K +11.16%G +1.43%5.3%2026-05-12 17:11
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -17.79%E -10.28%K -24.37%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV +10.73%E +5.09%K +9.67%G +1.04%5.2%2026-05-12 17:11
DraftKings1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -15.41%E -8.66%K -19.76%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +8.11%E +3.94%K +7.65%G +0.620%4.7%2026-05-12 17:11
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -15.89%E -8.98%K -20.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +7.58%E +3.70%K +7.22%G +0.547%5.3%2026-05-12 17:15
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -12.09%E -6.53%K -14.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +2.33%E +1.20%K +2.46%G +0.057%5.3%2026-05-12 17:15
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -6.38%E -3.24%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV +1.28%E +0.665%K +1.38%G +0.018%2.6%2026-05-12 17:05
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -11.14%E -5.95%K -12.80%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV +1.28%E +0.665%K +1.38%G +0.018%5.3%2026-05-12 17:15
Unibet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -8.76%E -4.56%K -9.52%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV +0.760%E +0.396%K +0.826%G +0.006%4.2%2026-05-12 16:59
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.23%E -4.83%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.235%E +0.123%K +0.258%G +0.001%4.7%2026-05-12 16:59
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.23%E -4.83%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.235%E +0.123%K +0.258%G +0.001%4.7%2026-05-12 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -14.46%E -8.03%K -18.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +0.235%E +0.123%K +0.258%G +0.001%7.9%2026-05-12 17:14
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -14.46%E -8.03%K -18.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +0.235%E +0.123%K +0.258%G +0.001%7.9%2026-05-12 17:10
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.14%E -5.95%K -12.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.86%E -0.997%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 17:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.14%E -5.95%K -12.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.86%E -0.997%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 17:05
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.14%E -5.95%K -12.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.86%E -0.997%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 17:05
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.14%E -5.95%K -12.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.86%E -0.997%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 17:04
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -2.39%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 17:08
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -2.39%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 17:08
Betr (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -9.23%E -4.83%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -2.39%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 17:03
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.33%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.91%E -1.58%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:59
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.33%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.91%E -1.58%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 17:03
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -8.28%E -4.29%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -2.91%E -1.58%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 17:05
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -10.66%E -5.67%K -12.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -2.91%E -1.58%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 17:00
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -12.09%E -6.53%K -14.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.58%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-12 16:59
SportsBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.48%E -2.23%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -3.96%E -2.17%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 17:05
GTbets1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.43%E -2.73%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -3.96%E -2.17%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 16:58
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.33%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.96%E -2.17%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 17:15
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -9.71%E -5.11%K -10.79%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -4.49%E -2.47%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 17:15
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.01%E -2.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 17:15
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.01%E -2.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 17:15
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.33%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 17:15
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.23%E -4.83%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 17:14
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.23%E -4.83%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 17:15
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -6.38%E -3.24%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -6.06%E -3.39%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 17:15
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -6.38%E -3.24%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -6.06%E -3.39%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 17:15
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -6.06%E -3.39%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 17:03
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -6.38%E -3.24%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.59%E -3.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 17:15
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -6.38%E -3.24%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.59%E -3.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 17:15
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -6.59%E -3.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 17:15
Bally Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -6.59%E -3.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 17:15
LeoVegas1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -7.81%E -4.03%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 17:15
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.89%EV -12.56%E -6.83%K -14.95%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.11%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-12 17:15
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.58%E -1.26%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 17:15
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.58%E -1.26%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 17:15
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.28%E -4.29%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-12 17:15
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -0.206%E -0.098%K -0.187%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -8.69%E -4.99%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 17:15
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.745%E +0.351%K +0.665%G +0.005%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -9.21%E -5.32%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 17:15
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.206%E -0.098%K -0.187%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.21%E -5.32%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 17:15
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -2.58%E -1.26%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -9.21%E -5.32%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 17:09
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.21%E -5.32%K -12.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-12 17:15
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.78%EV -10.66%E -5.67%K -12.11%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.22%EV -9.74%E -5.66%K -13.52%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-12 17:15
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -10.26%E -6.00%K -14.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 17:15
PointsBet (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -1.16%E -0.556%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -10.79%E -6.34%K -15.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 17:15
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.58%E -1.26%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.79%E -6.34%K -15.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 17:15
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.58%E -1.26%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.79%E -6.34%K -15.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 17:15
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -11.31%E -6.69%K -16.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-12 17:15
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -11.31%E -6.69%K -16.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-12 17:15
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -0.206%E -0.098%K -0.187%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -12.36%E -7.40%K -18.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 17:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-05-12 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-05-12 17:15
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-05-12 17:11
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%2.9%2026-05-12 17:11
Novig2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%5.9%2026-05-12 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%6.1%2026-05-12 17:15